Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate partly cloudy skies and isolated showers across the Western Cape for May 17, supporting trader consensus around a 20–21°C high in Cape Town. This positioning reflects the typical autumn transition, when Atlantic maritime air moderates daytime maxima while variable southeasterly winds and cloud cover can suppress or enhance warming by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 19°C provide context, yet current model runs show slightly above-normal conditions due to reduced cold-air advection. Resolution hinges on the official maximum reading, with traders monitoring afternoon wind shifts and any late-day clearing that could nudge temperatures toward the upper end of the 19–22°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 17?
20°C 37%
21°C 32%
19°C 16%
22°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
21%
20°C
37%
21°C
32%
22°C
7%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 37%
21°C 32%
19°C 16%
22°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
21%
20°C
37%
21°C
32%
22°C
7%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate partly cloudy skies and isolated showers across the Western Cape for May 17, supporting trader consensus around a 20–21°C high in Cape Town. This positioning reflects the typical autumn transition, when Atlantic maritime air moderates daytime maxima while variable southeasterly winds and cloud cover can suppress or enhance warming by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 19°C provide context, yet current model runs show slightly above-normal conditions due to reduced cold-air advection. Resolution hinges on the official maximum reading, with traders monitoring afternoon wind shifts and any late-day clearing that could nudge temperatures toward the upper end of the 19–22°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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