Current ensemble guidance from NOAA models points to a subtropical high-pressure regime dominating South Florida through mid-May, with light easterly flow and moderate humidity supporting overnight lows near 78°F for Miami on May 19. Radiative cooling under mostly clear skies could allow the daily minimum to dip into the mid-70s, aligning with the market's elevated implied probability for 73°F or below. Historical climatology shows typical May minima averaging 76°F at Miami International Airport, but short-term model spreads introduce uncertainty around wind shifts or increased moisture that might suppress cooling. Updated National Weather Service briefings expected within 48 hours will refine these projections and likely influence further trading activity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on May 19?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 19?
73°F or below 37%
78-79°F 22%
80-81°F 19.0%
76-77°F 13%
MỚI
MỚI
May 19, 2026
73°F or below
37%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
73°F or below 37%
78-79°F 22%
80-81°F 19.0%
76-77°F 13%
MỚI
MỚI
May 19, 2026
73°F or below
$3 KL.
37%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
10%
76-77°F
$8 KL.
16%
78-79°F
$11 KL.
27%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
19%
82-83°F
$13 KL.
21%
84-85°F
$69 KL.
2%
86-87°F
$30 KL.
1%
88-89°F
$618 KL.
2%
90-91°F
$271 KL.
<1%
92°F or higher
$361 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble guidance from NOAA models points to a subtropical high-pressure regime dominating South Florida through mid-May, with light easterly flow and moderate humidity supporting overnight lows near 78°F for Miami on May 19. Radiative cooling under mostly clear skies could allow the daily minimum to dip into the mid-70s, aligning with the market's elevated implied probability for 73°F or below. Historical climatology shows typical May minima averaging 76°F at Miami International Airport, but short-term model spreads introduce uncertainty around wind shifts or increased moisture that might suppress cooling. Updated National Weather Service briefings expected within 48 hours will refine these projections and likely influence further trading activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,384Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble guidance from NOAA models points to a subtropical high-pressure regime dominating South Florida through mid-May, with light easterly flow and moderate humidity supporting overnight lows near 78°F for Miami on May 19. Radiative cooling under mostly clear skies could allow the daily minimum to dip into the mid-70s, aligning with the market's elevated implied probability for 73°F or below. Historical climatology shows typical May minima averaging 76°F at Miami International Airport, but short-term model spreads introduce uncertainty around wind shifts or increased moisture that might suppress cooling. Updated National Weather Service briefings expected within 48 hours will refine these projections and likely influence further trading activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,384Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIACurrent ensemble guidance from NOAA models points to a subtropical high-pressure regime dominating South Florida through mid-May, with light easterly flow and moderate humidity supporting overnight lows near 78°F for Miami on May 19. Radiative cooling under mostly clear skies could allow the daily minimum to dip into the mid-70s, aligning with the market's elevated implied probability for 73°F or below. Historical climatology shows typical May minima averaging 76°F at Miami International Airport, but short-term model spreads introduce uncertainty around wind shifts or increased moisture that might suppress cooling. Updated National Weather Service briefings expected within 48 hours will refine these projections and likely influence further trading activity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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