Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 17?
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 27%
73°F or below 24.8%
80-81°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
25%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 27%
73°F or below 24.8%
80-81°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
$504 KL.
25%
74-75°F
$60 KL.
11%
76-77°F
$34 KL.
24%
78-79°F
$66 KL.
41%
80-81°F
$41 KL.
21%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
5%
84-85°F
$78 KL.
2%
86-87°F
$114 KL.
1%
88-89°F
$25 KL.
1%
90-91°F
$115 KL.
<1%
92°F or higher
$888 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,924Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,924Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIATrader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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