AEMET's latest forecast pegs Madrid's May 15 high at 16°C under clear skies and northerly winds up to 20 km/h, ushering in colder-than-normal continental air that has cooled trader consensus from seasonal averages near 22°C. The razor-thin split between 17°C (36.5% implied probability) and 16°C (34%) reflects ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models, where slight variations in wind timing or morning cloud clearance could boost peaks by 1°C via enhanced insolation. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours confirm this cool anomaly through May 17, with 0% precipitation risk minimizing upside volatility. Overnight forecast updates from AEMET will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Retiro or Barajas station observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on May 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 15?
17°C 37%
16°C 35%
18°C 20%
19°C 7%
MỚI
$14,174 KL.
MỚI
$14,174 KL.
May 15, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
35%
17°C
37%
18°C
20%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
1%
17°C 37%
16°C 35%
18°C 20%
19°C 7%
MỚI
$14,174 KL.
MỚI
$14,174 KL.
May 15, 2026
13°C or below
$1,622 KL.
1%
14°C
$1,288 KL.
1%
15°C
$1,327 KL.
5%
16°C
$1,395 KL.
35%
17°C
$891 KL.
37%
18°C
$853 KL.
20%
19°C
$1,048 KL.
7%
20°C
$1,042 KL.
1%
21°C
$1,195 KL.
1%
22°C
$1,467 KL.
<1%
23°C or higher
$2,185 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest forecast pegs Madrid's May 15 high at 16°C under clear skies and northerly winds up to 20 km/h, ushering in colder-than-normal continental air that has cooled trader consensus from seasonal averages near 22°C. The razor-thin split between 17°C (36.5% implied probability) and 16°C (34%) reflects ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models, where slight variations in wind timing or morning cloud clearance could boost peaks by 1°C via enhanced insolation. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours confirm this cool anomaly through May 17, with 0% precipitation risk minimizing upside volatility. Overnight forecast updates from AEMET will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Retiro or Barajas station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,174Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest forecast pegs Madrid's May 15 high at 16°C under clear skies and northerly winds up to 20 km/h, ushering in colder-than-normal continental air that has cooled trader consensus from seasonal averages near 22°C. The razor-thin split between 17°C (36.5% implied probability) and 16°C (34%) reflects ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models, where slight variations in wind timing or morning cloud clearance could boost peaks by 1°C via enhanced insolation. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours confirm this cool anomaly through May 17, with 0% precipitation risk minimizing upside volatility. Overnight forecast updates from AEMET will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Retiro or Barajas station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$14,174Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...AEMET's latest forecast pegs Madrid's May 15 high at 16°C under clear skies and northerly winds up to 20 km/h, ushering in colder-than-normal continental air that has cooled trader consensus from seasonal averages near 22°C. The razor-thin split between 17°C (36.5% implied probability) and 16°C (34%) reflects ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models, where slight variations in wind timing or morning cloud clearance could boost peaks by 1°C via enhanced insolation. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours confirm this cool anomaly through May 17, with 0% precipitation risk minimizing upside volatility. Overnight forecast updates from AEMET will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Retiro or Barajas station observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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