Recent National Weather Service model guidance points to a mild overnight period for New York City on May 19 driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts currently cluster the daily minimum between 64°F and 71°F, with the tight spread among leading outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical May climatology shows average lows near 55°F, yet the current setup favors readings several degrees above normal. Updated short-range runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold, particularly if high pressure strengthens or precipitation develops and alters the temperature trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on May 19?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 19?
66-67°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 13%
MỚI
MỚI
May 19, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
8%
74°F or higher
4%
66-67°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 13%
MỚI
MỚI
May 19, 2026
55°F or below
$5 KL.
<1%
56-57°F
$70 KL.
1%
58-59°F
$331 KL.
1%
60-61°F
$9 KL.
7%
62-63°F
$25 KL.
13%
64-65°F
$22 KL.
13%
66-67°F
$18 KL.
23%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
16%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
19%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
8%
74°F or higher
$25 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model guidance points to a mild overnight period for New York City on May 19 driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts currently cluster the daily minimum between 64°F and 71°F, with the tight spread among leading outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical May climatology shows average lows near 55°F, yet the current setup favors readings several degrees above normal. Updated short-range runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold, particularly if high pressure strengthens or precipitation develops and alters the temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$504Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model guidance points to a mild overnight period for New York City on May 19 driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts currently cluster the daily minimum between 64°F and 71°F, with the tight spread among leading outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical May climatology shows average lows near 55°F, yet the current setup favors readings several degrees above normal. Updated short-range runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold, particularly if high pressure strengthens or precipitation develops and alters the temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$504Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent National Weather Service model guidance points to a mild overnight period for New York City on May 19 driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts currently cluster the daily minimum between 64°F and 71°F, with the tight spread among leading outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical May climatology shows average lows near 55°F, yet the current setup favors readings several degrees above normal. Updated short-range runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold, particularly if high pressure strengthens or precipitation develops and alters the temperature trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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