Recent National Weather Service forecasts, supported by GFS and ECMWF ensemble means, place the overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the narrow 53–56 °F range, driving the near-certain market consensus around 54–55 °F. Mild conditions stem from light southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and a stable air mass that has kept minimum temperatures several degrees above seasonal averages for mid-May. Official resolution will rely on the NWS Climatological Report for New York City, with any final model adjustments or localized urban heat effects representing the only plausible pathways to outcomes outside the leading bin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 16?
54-55°F 99.4%
52-53°F <1%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
$16,276 KL.
$16,276 KL.
May 16, 2026
43°F or below
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
99%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 99.4%
52-53°F <1%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
$16,276 KL.
$16,276 KL.
May 16, 2026
43°F or below
$552 KL.
<1%
44-45°F
$661 KL.
<1%
46-47°F
$408 KL.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,088 KL.
<1%
50-51°F
$392 KL.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,747 KL.
<1%
54-55°F
$2,043 KL.
99%
56-57°F
$2,714 KL.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,629 KL.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,615 KL.
<1%
62°F or higher
$2,426 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts, supported by GFS and ECMWF ensemble means, place the overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the narrow 53–56 °F range, driving the near-certain market consensus around 54–55 °F. Mild conditions stem from light southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and a stable air mass that has kept minimum temperatures several degrees above seasonal averages for mid-May. Official resolution will rely on the NWS Climatological Report for New York City, with any final model adjustments or localized urban heat effects representing the only plausible pathways to outcomes outside the leading bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,276Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts, supported by GFS and ECMWF ensemble means, place the overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the narrow 53–56 °F range, driving the near-certain market consensus around 54–55 °F. Mild conditions stem from light southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and a stable air mass that has kept minimum temperatures several degrees above seasonal averages for mid-May. Official resolution will rely on the NWS Climatological Report for New York City, with any final model adjustments or localized urban heat effects representing the only plausible pathways to outcomes outside the leading bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$16,276Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts, supported by GFS and ECMWF ensemble means, place the overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the narrow 53–56 °F range, driving the near-certain market consensus around 54–55 °F. Mild conditions stem from light southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and a stable air mass that has kept minimum temperatures several degrees above seasonal averages for mid-May. Official resolution will rely on the NWS Climatological Report for New York City, with any final model adjustments or localized urban heat effects representing the only plausible pathways to outcomes outside the leading bin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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