Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models project a nocturnal low around 52-53°F for New York City on May 15, driving trader sentiment with 43% implied probability on that outcome, as a post-frontal cool air mass ushers in radiational cooling under light northwest winds (5-10 mph) and partial clearing after recent showers. Recent observed lows of 54°F at Central Park on May 13 and 14 under slightly cloudier conditions support this positioning, aligning with mid-May climatological averages near 53°F. Secondary odds favor 50-51°F (22%) or 54-55°F (21%) amid uncertainty from potential evening mist or cloud variations; monitor hourly LaGuardia Airport observations (market resolution source) and 00Z model updates for shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 15?
52-53°F 43%
50-51°F 22%
54-55°F 20%
48-49°F 6.5%
MỚI
MỚI
May 15, 2026
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
43%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
1%
60°F or higher
<1%
52-53°F 43%
50-51°F 22%
54-55°F 20%
48-49°F 6.5%
MỚI
MỚI
May 15, 2026
41°F or below
$2,531 KL.
1%
42-43°F
$80 KL.
1%
44-45°F
$66 KL.
1%
46-47°F
$80 KL.
1%
48-49°F
$396 KL.
7%
50-51°F
$106 KL.
22%
52-53°F
$140 KL.
43%
54-55°F
$271 KL.
20%
56-57°F
$899 KL.
5%
58-59°F
$1,964 KL.
1%
60°F or higher
$916 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models project a nocturnal low around 52-53°F for New York City on May 15, driving trader sentiment with 43% implied probability on that outcome, as a post-frontal cool air mass ushers in radiational cooling under light northwest winds (5-10 mph) and partial clearing after recent showers. Recent observed lows of 54°F at Central Park on May 13 and 14 under slightly cloudier conditions support this positioning, aligning with mid-May climatological averages near 53°F. Secondary odds favor 50-51°F (22%) or 54-55°F (21%) amid uncertainty from potential evening mist or cloud variations; monitor hourly LaGuardia Airport observations (market resolution source) and 00Z model updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,450Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models project a nocturnal low around 52-53°F for New York City on May 15, driving trader sentiment with 43% implied probability on that outcome, as a post-frontal cool air mass ushers in radiational cooling under light northwest winds (5-10 mph) and partial clearing after recent showers. Recent observed lows of 54°F at Central Park on May 13 and 14 under slightly cloudier conditions support this positioning, aligning with mid-May climatological averages near 53°F. Secondary odds favor 50-51°F (22%) or 54-55°F (21%) amid uncertainty from potential evening mist or cloud variations; monitor hourly LaGuardia Airport observations (market resolution source) and 00Z model updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$7,450Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models project a nocturnal low around 52-53°F for New York City on May 15, driving trader sentiment with 43% implied probability on that outcome, as a post-frontal cool air mass ushers in radiational cooling under light northwest winds (5-10 mph) and partial clearing after recent showers. Recent observed lows of 54°F at Central Park on May 13 and 14 under slightly cloudier conditions support this positioning, aligning with mid-May climatological averages near 53°F. Secondary odds favor 50-51°F (22%) or 54-55°F (21%) amid uncertainty from potential evening mist or cloud variations; monitor hourly LaGuardia Airport observations (market resolution source) and 00Z model updates for shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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