Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly guidance, project Istanbul's May 15 high temperature clustering tightly at 20-22°C, with MGM peaking at 22.2°C around 4 p.m. local time under mostly clear skies, fueling the razor-thin trader sentiment between 20°C (32%) and 21°C (30.5%). This balance stems from mid-May climatology—averaging 21°C highs with 3°C standard deviation—tempered by sea breeze influences from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, potential afternoon cumulus clouds curbing insolation, and variable boundary layer mixing amid weak high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean. No major synoptic shifts in the past week; real-time airport observations and evening model updates could tip the closely matched outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 15?
20°C 32%
21°C 31%
22°C or higher 21%
19°C 16%
MỚI
$13,980 KL.
MỚI
$13,980 KL.
May 15, 2026
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
16%
20°C
32%
21°C
31%
22°C or higher
21%
20°C 32%
21°C 31%
22°C or higher 21%
19°C 16%
MỚI
$13,980 KL.
MỚI
$13,980 KL.
May 15, 2026
13°C
$750 KL.
<1%
14°C
$1,867 KL.
1%
15°C
$1,105 KL.
<1%
16°C
$2,202 KL.
<1%
17°C
$1,569 KL.
1%
18°C
$1,963 KL.
4%
19°C
$1,305 KL.
16%
20°C
$1,204 KL.
32%
21°C
$542 KL.
31%
22°C or higher
$949 KL.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly guidance, project Istanbul's May 15 high temperature clustering tightly at 20-22°C, with MGM peaking at 22.2°C around 4 p.m. local time under mostly clear skies, fueling the razor-thin trader sentiment between 20°C (32%) and 21°C (30.5%). This balance stems from mid-May climatology—averaging 21°C highs with 3°C standard deviation—tempered by sea breeze influences from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, potential afternoon cumulus clouds curbing insolation, and variable boundary layer mixing amid weak high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean. No major synoptic shifts in the past week; real-time airport observations and evening model updates could tip the closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,980Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly guidance, project Istanbul's May 15 high temperature clustering tightly at 20-22°C, with MGM peaking at 22.2°C around 4 p.m. local time under mostly clear skies, fueling the razor-thin trader sentiment between 20°C (32%) and 21°C (30.5%). This balance stems from mid-May climatology—averaging 21°C highs with 3°C standard deviation—tempered by sea breeze influences from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, potential afternoon cumulus clouds curbing insolation, and variable boundary layer mixing amid weak high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean. No major synoptic shifts in the past week; real-time airport observations and evening model updates could tip the closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$13,980Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly guidance, project Istanbul's May 15 high temperature clustering tightly at 20-22°C, with MGM peaking at 22.2°C around 4 p.m. local time under mostly clear skies, fueling the razor-thin trader sentiment between 20°C (32%) and 21°C (30.5%). This balance stems from mid-May climatology—averaging 21°C highs with 3°C standard deviation—tempered by sea breeze influences from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, potential afternoon cumulus clouds curbing insolation, and variable boundary layer mixing amid weak high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean. No major synoptic shifts in the past week; real-time airport observations and evening model updates could tip the closely matched outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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