Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 31–35°C for Jakarta's May 17 peak temperature, mirroring the spread in BMKG short-range forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 32–34°C under early dry season conditions with high equatorial solar insolation and urban heat island effects at Halim Perdanakusuma station. Light rain threats and cloud cover, indicated at 70–90% probabilities, could suppress peaks toward 31–32°C, while clearer skies and suppressed convection might push toward 34–35°C, consistent with recent days' 33–35°C observations and a drier-than-normal 2026 dry season per BMKG. New model runs and hourly BMKG updates by May 16 will likely refine this uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
32°C 34%
33°C 17%
34°C 15%
31°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
34%
33°C
23%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
33°C 17%
34°C 15%
31°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
$580 KL.
1%
28°C
$80 KL.
1%
29°C
$20 KL.
4%
30°C
$5 KL.
4%
31°C
$282 KL.
6%
32°C
$15 KL.
34%
33°C
$7 KL.
23%
34°C
$0 KL.
15%
35°C
$0 KL.
3%
36°C
$47 KL.
3%
37°C or higher
$15 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 31–35°C for Jakarta's May 17 peak temperature, mirroring the spread in BMKG short-range forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 32–34°C under early dry season conditions with high equatorial solar insolation and urban heat island effects at Halim Perdanakusuma station. Light rain threats and cloud cover, indicated at 70–90% probabilities, could suppress peaks toward 31–32°C, while clearer skies and suppressed convection might push toward 34–35°C, consistent with recent days' 33–35°C observations and a drier-than-normal 2026 dry season per BMKG. New model runs and hourly BMKG updates by May 16 will likely refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,044Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 31–35°C for Jakarta's May 17 peak temperature, mirroring the spread in BMKG short-range forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 32–34°C under early dry season conditions with high equatorial solar insolation and urban heat island effects at Halim Perdanakusuma station. Light rain threats and cloud cover, indicated at 70–90% probabilities, could suppress peaks toward 31–32°C, while clearer skies and suppressed convection might push toward 34–35°C, consistent with recent days' 33–35°C observations and a drier-than-normal 2026 dry season per BMKG. New model runs and hourly BMKG updates by May 16 will likely refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,044Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 31–35°C for Jakarta's May 17 peak temperature, mirroring the spread in BMKG short-range forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 32–34°C under early dry season conditions with high equatorial solar insolation and urban heat island effects at Halim Perdanakusuma station. Light rain threats and cloud cover, indicated at 70–90% probabilities, could suppress peaks toward 31–32°C, while clearer skies and suppressed convection might push toward 34–35°C, consistent with recent days' 33–35°C observations and a drier-than-normal 2026 dry season per BMKG. New model runs and hourly BMKG updates by May 16 will likely refine this uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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