Current forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Singapore on May 17, driven by typical May equatorial conditions featuring high solar insolation, elevated humidity near 80%, and afternoon thundery showers that often cap peak heating through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Recent May observations show maxima averaging 31–33°C, with the National Environment Agency noting frequent Sumatra squalls and localized convection that have kept several days below 33°C. These factors explain the near-even split between the 31°C and 32°C outcomes in trader sentiment, while the modest probability on 33°C+ reflects the chance of clearer skies or reduced rainfall allowing greater surface heating. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine land-sea breeze and instability details ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on May 17?
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 14%
$22,702 KL.
$22,702 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
31%
32°C
32%
33°C or higher
25%
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 14%
$22,702 KL.
$22,702 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
31%
32°C
32%
33°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSCurrent forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Singapore on May 17, driven by typical May equatorial conditions featuring high solar insolation, elevated humidity near 80%, and afternoon thundery showers that often cap peak heating through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Recent May observations show maxima averaging 31–33°C, with the National Environment Agency noting frequent Sumatra squalls and localized convection that have kept several days below 33°C. These factors explain the near-even split between the 31°C and 32°C outcomes in trader sentiment, while the modest probability on 33°C+ reflects the chance of clearer skies or reduced rainfall allowing greater surface heating. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine land-sea breeze and instability details ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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