Current forecast guidance from Singapore's Meteorological Service points to peak temperatures around 32–33°C on May 18, driven by the island's equatorial location and ongoing inter-monsoon conditions that favor afternoon convective showers. These storms typically develop after midday, limiting maximum heating and keeping daily highs clustered near the May climatological average of 31–32°C. Recent weeks have shown similar patterns, with no heatwave signals emerging and the latest model runs indicating only modest variability from steering winds and moisture levels. Traders are therefore pricing the highest probability on 32°C, reflecting the balance between typical urban heat-island enhancement and the cooling influence of thundery activity expected during the peak afternoon window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on May 18?
32°C 38%
33°C 23%
31°C 21%
30°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
38%
33°C
23%
34°C or higher
6%
32°C 38%
33°C 23%
31°C 21%
30°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
38%
33°C
23%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSCurrent forecast guidance from Singapore's Meteorological Service points to peak temperatures around 32–33°C on May 18, driven by the island's equatorial location and ongoing inter-monsoon conditions that favor afternoon convective showers. These storms typically develop after midday, limiting maximum heating and keeping daily highs clustered near the May climatological average of 31–32°C. Recent weeks have shown similar patterns, with no heatwave signals emerging and the latest model runs indicating only modest variability from steering winds and moisture levels. Traders are therefore pricing the highest probability on 32°C, reflecting the balance between typical urban heat-island enhancement and the cooling influence of thundery activity expected during the peak afternoon window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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