Latest MetService and international model guidance positions Wellington’s May 17 daytime maximum near 14 °C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, aligning with trader consensus that has priced the 14 °C outcome at 50 percent. Mid-autumn climatology for the region shows typical highs of 13–15 °C, and the current absence of strong southerly surges or significant cloud cover keeps probabilities tightly clustered around this narrow band. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest upside risk to 15 °C if mixing strengthens and limited downside to 13 °C should a brief frontal passage arrive earlier than projected. Final short-range model updates tonight will provide the last adjustments before the MetService Wellington station observation resolves the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
14°C 51%
13°C 25%
15°C 20%
12°C 7%
MỚI
$24,718 KL.
MỚI
$24,718 KL.
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
7%
13°C
25%
14°C
51%
15°C
20%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 51%
13°C 25%
15°C 20%
12°C 7%
MỚI
$24,718 KL.
MỚI
$24,718 KL.
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
$4,661 KL.
<1%
9°C
$2,840 KL.
<1%
10°C
$1,347 KL.
<1%
11°C
$1,439 KL.
<1%
12°C
$670 KL.
7%
13°C
$1,132 KL.
25%
14°C
$1,330 KL.
51%
15°C
$1,730 KL.
20%
16°C
$2,093 KL.
2%
17°C
$3,836 KL.
<1%
18°C or higher
$3,705 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService and international model guidance positions Wellington’s May 17 daytime maximum near 14 °C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, aligning with trader consensus that has priced the 14 °C outcome at 50 percent. Mid-autumn climatology for the region shows typical highs of 13–15 °C, and the current absence of strong southerly surges or significant cloud cover keeps probabilities tightly clustered around this narrow band. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest upside risk to 15 °C if mixing strengthens and limited downside to 13 °C should a brief frontal passage arrive earlier than projected. Final short-range model updates tonight will provide the last adjustments before the MetService Wellington station observation resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,718Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService and international model guidance positions Wellington’s May 17 daytime maximum near 14 °C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, aligning with trader consensus that has priced the 14 °C outcome at 50 percent. Mid-autumn climatology for the region shows typical highs of 13–15 °C, and the current absence of strong southerly surges or significant cloud cover keeps probabilities tightly clustered around this narrow band. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest upside risk to 15 °C if mixing strengthens and limited downside to 13 °C should a brief frontal passage arrive earlier than projected. Final short-range model updates tonight will provide the last adjustments before the MetService Wellington station observation resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$24,718Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNLatest MetService and international model guidance positions Wellington’s May 17 daytime maximum near 14 °C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, aligning with trader consensus that has priced the 14 °C outcome at 50 percent. Mid-autumn climatology for the region shows typical highs of 13–15 °C, and the current absence of strong southerly surges or significant cloud cover keeps probabilities tightly clustered around this narrow band. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest upside risk to 15 °C if mixing strengthens and limited downside to 13 °C should a brief frontal passage arrive earlier than projected. Final short-range model updates tonight will provide the last adjustments before the MetService Wellington station observation resolves the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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