Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles have converged on a narrow 26–27 °C range for Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 17, producing the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta places typical highs near 25 °C under neutral spring conditions, but a modest subtropical ridge and reduced cloud cover are supporting slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Light southerly flow off the East China Sea and limited moisture advection keep the upside capped, while any increase in afternoon convection or a slight westward shift in the steering pattern could shave a degree. The next China Meteorological Administration and updated ensemble releases remain the key near-term catalysts that could sharpen or broaden this tight distribution before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
26°C 36%
27°C 33%
25°C 16%
28°C 12%
MỚI
$11,467 KL.
MỚI
$11,467 KL.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
33%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 33%
25°C 16%
28°C 12%
MỚI
$11,467 KL.
MỚI
$11,467 KL.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$1,091 KL.
<1%
22°C
$2,996 KL.
1%
23°C
$1,548 KL.
1%
24°C
$1,976 KL.
3%
25°C
$908 KL.
16%
26°C
$860 KL.
36%
27°C
$399 KL.
33%
28°C
$472 KL.
12%
29°C
$481 KL.
3%
30°C
$367 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$459 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles have converged on a narrow 26–27 °C range for Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 17, producing the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta places typical highs near 25 °C under neutral spring conditions, but a modest subtropical ridge and reduced cloud cover are supporting slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Light southerly flow off the East China Sea and limited moisture advection keep the upside capped, while any increase in afternoon convection or a slight westward shift in the steering pattern could shave a degree. The next China Meteorological Administration and updated ensemble releases remain the key near-term catalysts that could sharpen or broaden this tight distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,467Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles have converged on a narrow 26–27 °C range for Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 17, producing the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta places typical highs near 25 °C under neutral spring conditions, but a modest subtropical ridge and reduced cloud cover are supporting slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Light southerly flow off the East China Sea and limited moisture advection keep the upside capped, while any increase in afternoon convection or a slight westward shift in the steering pattern could shave a degree. The next China Meteorological Administration and updated ensemble releases remain the key near-term catalysts that could sharpen or broaden this tight distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$11,467Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles have converged on a narrow 26–27 °C range for Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 17, producing the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta places typical highs near 25 °C under neutral spring conditions, but a modest subtropical ridge and reduced cloud cover are supporting slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Light southerly flow off the East China Sea and limited moisture advection keep the upside capped, while any increase in afternoon convection or a slight westward shift in the steering pattern could shave a degree. The next China Meteorological Administration and updated ensemble releases remain the key near-term catalysts that could sharpen or broaden this tight distribution before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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