Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high near 91°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on May 16, under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and south-southeasterly winds of 5-10 mph advecting warm, moist Gulf air. This setup supports above-normal temperatures—May climatological highs average 87°F—but mostly cloudy skies could cap peaks by 2-3°F via reduced insolation, explaining the close split between 90°F+ (37.5%) and 88-89°F (32.5%). Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show minor spread around 89-92°F, with 86-87°F (23%) viable if mid-level clouds thicken. Watch NWS morning update for refined boundary-layer profiles and cloud trends resolving the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 41%
88-89°F 32%
86-87°F 19%
84-85°F 6%
MỚI
$28,265 KL.
MỚI
$28,265 KL.
May 16, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
32%
90°F or higher
41%
90°F or higher 41%
88-89°F 32%
86-87°F 19%
84-85°F 6%
MỚI
$28,265 KL.
MỚI
$28,265 KL.
May 16, 2026
71°F or below
$9,296 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,686 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,642 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,745 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,664 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,345 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$563 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$402 KL.
6%
86-87°F
$710 KL.
19%
88-89°F
$701 KL.
32%
90°F or higher
$1,511 KL.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high near 91°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on May 16, under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and south-southeasterly winds of 5-10 mph advecting warm, moist Gulf air. This setup supports above-normal temperatures—May climatological highs average 87°F—but mostly cloudy skies could cap peaks by 2-3°F via reduced insolation, explaining the close split between 90°F+ (37.5%) and 88-89°F (32.5%). Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show minor spread around 89-92°F, with 86-87°F (23%) viable if mid-level clouds thicken. Watch NWS morning update for refined boundary-layer profiles and cloud trends resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,265Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high near 91°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on May 16, under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and south-southeasterly winds of 5-10 mph advecting warm, moist Gulf air. This setup supports above-normal temperatures—May climatological highs average 87°F—but mostly cloudy skies could cap peaks by 2-3°F via reduced insolation, explaining the close split between 90°F+ (37.5%) and 88-89°F (32.5%). Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show minor spread around 89-92°F, with 86-87°F (23%) viable if mid-level clouds thicken. Watch NWS morning update for refined boundary-layer profiles and cloud trends resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$28,265Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high near 91°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on May 16, under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and south-southeasterly winds of 5-10 mph advecting warm, moist Gulf air. This setup supports above-normal temperatures—May climatological highs average 87°F—but mostly cloudy skies could cap peaks by 2-3°F via reduced insolation, explaining the close split between 90°F+ (37.5%) and 88-89°F (32.5%). Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show minor spread around 89-92°F, with 86-87°F (23%) viable if mid-level clouds thicken. Watch NWS morning update for refined boundary-layer profiles and cloud trends resolving the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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