Tight clustering in short-range numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF, and GFS drives the near-even market-implied odds for Ankara's high temperature at Esenboğa International Airport today, with MGM guidance pinpointing 17°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds suppressing peak heating. Subtle forecast divergences—primarily in afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary layer mixing—differentiate the leading 18°C (36%) and 17°C (35%) outcomes from 16°C (26.5%), as northerly flow ushers cooler continental polar air following yesterday's 22°C high. This setup falls below May's 22°C climatological average amid typical spring variability. Real-time METAR observations through late afternoon and final model updates will likely resolve trader uncertainty before market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
17°C 37%
18°C 33%
16°C 27%
19°C 5%
$27,364 KL.
$27,364 KL.
May 15, 2026
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
27%
17°C
37%
18°C
33%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 37%
18°C 33%
16°C 27%
19°C 5%
$27,364 KL.
$27,364 KL.
May 15, 2026
12°C
$3,526 KL.
<1%
13°C
$1,438 KL.
<1%
14°C
$3,628 KL.
<1%
15°C
$2,367 KL.
2%
16°C
$2,291 KL.
27%
17°C
$1,931 KL.
37%
18°C
$2,451 KL.
33%
19°C
$2,424 KL.
5%
20°C
$3,103 KL.
1%
21°C or higher
$3,430 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight clustering in short-range numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF, and GFS drives the near-even market-implied odds for Ankara's high temperature at Esenboğa International Airport today, with MGM guidance pinpointing 17°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds suppressing peak heating. Subtle forecast divergences—primarily in afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary layer mixing—differentiate the leading 18°C (36%) and 17°C (35%) outcomes from 16°C (26.5%), as northerly flow ushers cooler continental polar air following yesterday's 22°C high. This setup falls below May's 22°C climatological average amid typical spring variability. Real-time METAR observations through late afternoon and final model updates will likely resolve trader uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$27,364Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight clustering in short-range numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF, and GFS drives the near-even market-implied odds for Ankara's high temperature at Esenboğa International Airport today, with MGM guidance pinpointing 17°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds suppressing peak heating. Subtle forecast divergences—primarily in afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary layer mixing—differentiate the leading 18°C (36%) and 17°C (35%) outcomes from 16°C (26.5%), as northerly flow ushers cooler continental polar air following yesterday's 22°C high. This setup falls below May's 22°C climatological average amid typical spring variability. Real-time METAR observations through late afternoon and final model updates will likely resolve trader uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$27,364Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight clustering in short-range numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF, and GFS drives the near-even market-implied odds for Ankara's high temperature at Esenboğa International Airport today, with MGM guidance pinpointing 17°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds suppressing peak heating. Subtle forecast divergences—primarily in afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary layer mixing—differentiate the leading 18°C (36%) and 17°C (35%) outcomes from 16°C (26.5%), as northerly flow ushers cooler continental polar air following yesterday's 22°C high. This setup falls below May's 22°C climatological average amid typical spring variability. Real-time METAR observations through late afternoon and final model updates will likely resolve trader uncertainty before market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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