Latest meteorological guidance from regional models points to a modest high near 19–20 °C in Ankara on May 17, driven by a weakening ridge of high pressure and light northwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. Mid-May climatology places the long-term average maximum at roughly 22 °C, yet persistent morning cloud cover and possible brief showers are expected to cap afternoon temperatures a degree or two below that baseline. Small differences in model timing for any convective activity create the tight spread between the 19 °C and 21 °C brackets, while historical variability of ±2–3 °C around the mean supports the current trader consensus that the outcome will most likely fall in the narrow 19–21 °C window. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.