Recent weather model consensus from regional forecasting centers indicates a likely daily maximum near 16–17°C in Ankara on May 18, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any passing frontal boundary, with drier air masses favoring the central range while any increased moisture could suppress peaks below 15°C. Historical May climatology places average maxima around 22°C, underscoring how the current pattern represents a cooler-than-normal deviation. Traders weigh these variables against potential model updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 48 hours, which could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on May 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 18?
17°C 32%
16°C 23%
18°C 22%
15°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
7%
15°C
18%
16°C
23%
17°C
32%
18°C
22%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
9%
17°C 32%
16°C 23%
18°C 22%
15°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
10°C or below
$100 KL.
1%
11°C
$5 KL.
1%
12°C
$15 KL.
2%
13°C
$2 KL.
2%
14°C
$0 KL.
7%
15°C
$0 KL.
18%
16°C
$0 KL.
23%
17°C
$5 KL.
32%
18°C
$0 KL.
22%
19°C
$2 KL.
13%
20°C or higher
$44 KL.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model consensus from regional forecasting centers indicates a likely daily maximum near 16–17°C in Ankara on May 18, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any passing frontal boundary, with drier air masses favoring the central range while any increased moisture could suppress peaks below 15°C. Historical May climatology places average maxima around 22°C, underscoring how the current pattern represents a cooler-than-normal deviation. Traders weigh these variables against potential model updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 48 hours, which could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$172Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model consensus from regional forecasting centers indicates a likely daily maximum near 16–17°C in Ankara on May 18, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any passing frontal boundary, with drier air masses favoring the central range while any increased moisture could suppress peaks below 15°C. Historical May climatology places average maxima around 22°C, underscoring how the current pattern represents a cooler-than-normal deviation. Traders weigh these variables against potential model updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 48 hours, which could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$172Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACRecent weather model consensus from regional forecasting centers indicates a likely daily maximum near 16–17°C in Ankara on May 18, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any passing frontal boundary, with drier air masses favoring the central range while any increased moisture could suppress peaks below 15°C. Historical May climatology places average maxima around 22°C, underscoring how the current pattern represents a cooler-than-normal deviation. Traders weigh these variables against potential model updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 48 hours, which could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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