Forecast models from the National Weather Service show Houston's high temperature on May 16 centered near 87°F, with guidance split between mid-80s under increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects versus upper-80s if daytime heating strengthens. Recent runs reflect typical late-spring variability in the region, where Gulf moisture and weak steering winds create narrow uncertainty bands around the normal May high of 87°F. This scientific ambiguity—differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave energy—explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 86-87°F and 88°F or higher, with traders weighting official updates through the afternoon observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on May 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 16?
88°F or higher 39%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 13%
82-83°F 1.4%
MỚI
$23,889 KL.
MỚI
$23,889 KL.
May 16, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
37%
88°F or higher
39%
88°F or higher 39%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 13%
82-83°F 1.4%
MỚI
$23,889 KL.
MỚI
$23,889 KL.
May 16, 2026
69°F or below
$2,386 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,319 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$3,631 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,484 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,352 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$494 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,149 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$1,146 KL.
1%
84-85°F
$2,032 KL.
13%
86-87°F
$1,055 KL.
37%
88°F or higher
$911 KL.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service show Houston's high temperature on May 16 centered near 87°F, with guidance split between mid-80s under increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects versus upper-80s if daytime heating strengthens. Recent runs reflect typical late-spring variability in the region, where Gulf moisture and weak steering winds create narrow uncertainty bands around the normal May high of 87°F. This scientific ambiguity—differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave energy—explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 86-87°F and 88°F or higher, with traders weighting official updates through the afternoon observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,889Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service show Houston's high temperature on May 16 centered near 87°F, with guidance split between mid-80s under increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects versus upper-80s if daytime heating strengthens. Recent runs reflect typical late-spring variability in the region, where Gulf moisture and weak steering winds create narrow uncertainty bands around the normal May high of 87°F. This scientific ambiguity—differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave energy—explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 86-87°F and 88°F or higher, with traders weighting official updates through the afternoon observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$23,889Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service show Houston's high temperature on May 16 centered near 87°F, with guidance split between mid-80s under increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects versus upper-80s if daytime heating strengthens. Recent runs reflect typical late-spring variability in the region, where Gulf moisture and weak steering winds create narrow uncertainty bands around the normal May high of 87°F. This scientific ambiguity—differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave energy—explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 86-87°F and 88°F or higher, with traders weighting official updates through the afternoon observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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