The Polymarket-implied consensus of 92.6% on an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for week 19 reflects the latest CDC FluSurv-NET data, showing 86.0 overall as of week 17 (ending May 2), the third highest since the 2010–2011 season amid a moderate-to-high severity 2025–2026 campaign dominated by A(H3N2). Weekly rates have plummeted to 0.2 per 100,000 in week 17 from peaks above 12, with outpatient ILINet activity at 1.8%—stable and below baseline for seven weeks—signaling the season's end. Traders anticipate minimal additions (0.3–0.5 per week) given low national surveillance. Challenges could arise from reporting lags, preliminary data revisions upward, or an unforeseen late-season spike in cases among vulnerable groups like children or seniors, though FluView week 18 updates (due soon) are unlikely to shift this substantially.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?
85–90 92.8%
80–85 6.9%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
MỚI
MỚI
May 22, 2026
<80
1%
80–85
7%
85–90
93%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
1%
85–90 92.8%
80–85 6.9%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
MỚI
MỚI
May 22, 2026
<80
$535 KL.
1%
80–85
$283 KL.
7%
85–90
$527 KL.
93%
90–95
$189 KL.
<1%
95–100
$314 KL.
1%
100+
$231 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The Polymarket-implied consensus of 92.6% on an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for week 19 reflects the latest CDC FluSurv-NET data, showing 86.0 overall as of week 17 (ending May 2), the third highest since the 2010–2011 season amid a moderate-to-high severity 2025–2026 campaign dominated by A(H3N2). Weekly rates have plummeted to 0.2 per 100,000 in week 17 from peaks above 12, with outpatient ILINet activity at 1.8%—stable and below baseline for seven weeks—signaling the season's end. Traders anticipate minimal additions (0.3–0.5 per week) given low national surveillance. Challenges could arise from reporting lags, preliminary data revisions upward, or an unforeseen late-season spike in cases among vulnerable groups like children or seniors, though FluView week 18 updates (due soon) are unlikely to shift this substantially.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,959Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The Polymarket-implied consensus of 92.6% on an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for week 19 reflects the latest CDC FluSurv-NET data, showing 86.0 overall as of week 17 (ending May 2), the third highest since the 2010–2011 season amid a moderate-to-high severity 2025–2026 campaign dominated by A(H3N2). Weekly rates have plummeted to 0.2 per 100,000 in week 17 from peaks above 12, with outpatient ILINet activity at 1.8%—stable and below baseline for seven weeks—signaling the season's end. Traders anticipate minimal additions (0.3–0.5 per week) given low national surveillance. Challenges could arise from reporting lags, preliminary data revisions upward, or an unforeseen late-season spike in cases among vulnerable groups like children or seniors, though FluView week 18 updates (due soon) are unlikely to shift this substantially.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Khối lượng
$1,959Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Polymarket-implied consensus of 92.6% on an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for week 19 reflects the latest CDC FluSurv-NET data, showing 86.0 overall as of week 17 (ending May 2), the third highest since the 2010–2011 season amid a moderate-to-high severity 2025–2026 campaign dominated by A(H3N2). Weekly rates have plummeted to 0.2 per 100,000 in week 17 from peaks above 12, with outpatient ILINet activity at 1.8%—stable and below baseline for seven weeks—signaling the season's end. Traders anticipate minimal additions (0.3–0.5 per week) given low national surveillance. Challenges could arise from reporting lags, preliminary data revisions upward, or an unforeseen late-season spike in cases among vulnerable groups like children or seniors, though FluView week 18 updates (due soon) are unlikely to shift this substantially.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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