SpaceX's leading 2.0T+ outcome at 64% implied probability stems from accelerating momentum toward a mid-2026 IPO, with recent reports confirming confidential SEC filings and internal targets exceeding $2 trillion amid Starlink's expansion to over 9 million subscribers and Starship's advancing flight cadence. Private-market secondary sales doubled the valuation to $800 billion by late 2025, driven by reusable launch dominance, spectrum acquisitions for direct-to-cell services, and strategic plans for orbital AI data centers. These factors position the company for outsized multiples relative to its projected $15–18 billion 2025 revenue run rate. Key near-term catalysts include an April analyst day and potential June listing window, though regulatory review timelines and execution on Starship milestones could still influence final closing levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật2,0 nghìn tỷ+ 64%
1,8T–2,0T 13%
1,6T–1,8T 8.8%
1,4T–1,6T 5.9%
$956,483 KL.
$956,483 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
Không IPO trước năm 2028
1%
<1,0T
4%
1,0T–1,2T
2%
1,2T–1,4T
3%
1,4T–1,6T
6%
1,6T–1,8T
9%
1,8T–2,0T
13%
2,0 nghìn tỷ+
64%
2,0 nghìn tỷ+ 64%
1,8T–2,0T 13%
1,6T–1,8T 8.8%
1,4T–1,6T 5.9%
$956,483 KL.
$956,483 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
Không IPO trước năm 2028
$193,307 KL.
1%
<1,0T
$77,154 KL.
4%
1,0T–1,2T
$54,250 KL.
2%
1,2T–1,4T
$71,493 KL.
3%
1,4T–1,6T
$116,324 KL.
6%
1,6T–1,8T
$119,307 KL.
9%
1,8T–2,0T
$106,609 KL.
13%
2,0 nghìn tỷ+
$218,039 KL.
64%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's leading 2.0T+ outcome at 64% implied probability stems from accelerating momentum toward a mid-2026 IPO, with recent reports confirming confidential SEC filings and internal targets exceeding $2 trillion amid Starlink's expansion to over 9 million subscribers and Starship's advancing flight cadence. Private-market secondary sales doubled the valuation to $800 billion by late 2025, driven by reusable launch dominance, spectrum acquisitions for direct-to-cell services, and strategic plans for orbital AI data centers. These factors position the company for outsized multiples relative to its projected $15–18 billion 2025 revenue run rate. Key near-term catalysts include an April analyst day and potential June listing window, though regulatory review timelines and execution on Starship milestones could still influence final closing levels.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Khối lượng
$956,483Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's leading 2.0T+ outcome at 64% implied probability stems from accelerating momentum toward a mid-2026 IPO, with recent reports confirming confidential SEC filings and internal targets exceeding $2 trillion amid Starlink's expansion to over 9 million subscribers and Starship's advancing flight cadence. Private-market secondary sales doubled the valuation to $800 billion by late 2025, driven by reusable launch dominance, spectrum acquisitions for direct-to-cell services, and strategic plans for orbital AI data centers. These factors position the company for outsized multiples relative to its projected $15–18 billion 2025 revenue run rate. Key near-term catalysts include an April analyst day and potential June listing window, though regulatory review timelines and execution on Starship milestones could still influence final closing levels.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$956,483Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's leading 2.0T+ outcome at 64% implied probability stems from accelerating momentum toward a mid-2026 IPO, with recent reports confirming confidential SEC filings and internal targets exceeding $2 trillion amid Starlink's expansion to over 9 million subscribers and Starship's advancing flight cadence. Private-market secondary sales doubled the valuation to $800 billion by late 2025, driven by reusable launch dominance, spectrum acquisitions for direct-to-cell services, and strategic plans for orbital AI data centers. These factors position the company for outsized multiples relative to its projected $15–18 billion 2025 revenue run rate. Key near-term catalysts include an April analyst day and potential June listing window, though regulatory review timelines and execution on Starship milestones could still influence final closing levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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