USGS seismic data confirms no magnitude 7.0 or higher earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20—a 24-day quiet period shaping trader sentiment toward lower near-term probabilities despite historical norms of 15–20 such events annually along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Earlier 2026 activity included a M7.4 near Bitung, Indonesia, on April 1, following March clusters such as M7.5 off Tonga and M7.3 in Vanuatu, highlighting episodic release of tectonic stress but underscoring the Poisson-like randomness of great quakes, which cannot be forecasted short-term. Traders monitor USGS real-time feeds via the Advanced National Seismic System for instant updates, with magnitudes potentially revised within 24 hours of detection.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$25,094 KL.
May 31, 2026
May 15
8%
May 30
44%
$25,094 KL.
May 15
$3,534 KL.
8%
May 30
$8,313 KL.
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic data confirms no magnitude 7.0 or higher earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20—a 24-day quiet period shaping trader sentiment toward lower near-term probabilities despite historical norms of 15–20 such events annually along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Earlier 2026 activity included a M7.4 near Bitung, Indonesia, on April 1, following March clusters such as M7.5 off Tonga and M7.3 in Vanuatu, highlighting episodic release of tectonic stress but underscoring the Poisson-like randomness of great quakes, which cannot be forecasted short-term. Traders monitor USGS real-time feeds via the Advanced National Seismic System for instant updates, with magnitudes potentially revised within 24 hours of detection.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Thị trường mở: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25,094Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic data confirms no magnitude 7.0 or higher earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20—a 24-day quiet period shaping trader sentiment toward lower near-term probabilities despite historical norms of 15–20 such events annually along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Earlier 2026 activity included a M7.4 near Bitung, Indonesia, on April 1, following March clusters such as M7.5 off Tonga and M7.3 in Vanuatu, highlighting episodic release of tectonic stress but underscoring the Poisson-like randomness of great quakes, which cannot be forecasted short-term. Traders monitor USGS real-time feeds via the Advanced National Seismic System for instant updates, with magnitudes potentially revised within 24 hours of detection.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Khối lượng
$25,094Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...USGS seismic data confirms no magnitude 7.0 or higher earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20—a 24-day quiet period shaping trader sentiment toward lower near-term probabilities despite historical norms of 15–20 such events annually along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Earlier 2026 activity included a M7.4 near Bitung, Indonesia, on April 1, following March clusters such as M7.5 off Tonga and M7.3 in Vanuatu, highlighting episodic release of tectonic stress but underscoring the Poisson-like randomness of great quakes, which cannot be forecasted short-term. Traders monitor USGS real-time feeds via the Advanced National Seismic System for instant updates, with magnitudes potentially revised within 24 hours of detection.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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