The National Hurricane Center's first 2026 Tropical Weather Outlook, issued May 15, shows no tropical cyclone formation expected in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days amid dry air masses and suppressed convection typical of mid-May. Current conditions feature two weak tropical waves moving westward with limited thunderstorm activity, while seasonal forecasts from Colorado State University and others project below-average activity overall due to the likely transition toward El Niño conditions that increase upper-level wind shear. Historically, only a handful of named storms have formed before the June 1 official start, and none have developed in 2026 so far. NOAA's updated seasonal outlook, due May 21, could provide further clarity on any early-June risk, but present data support the market's strong consensus against pre-season development.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNamed storm forms before hurricane season?
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
$341,219 KL.
$341,219 KL.
May 31, 2026
$341,219 KL.
$341,219 KL.
May 31, 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The National Hurricane Center's first 2026 Tropical Weather Outlook, issued May 15, shows no tropical cyclone formation expected in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days amid dry air masses and suppressed convection typical of mid-May. Current conditions feature two weak tropical waves moving westward with limited thunderstorm activity, while seasonal forecasts from Colorado State University and others project below-average activity overall due to the likely transition toward El Niño conditions that increase upper-level wind shear. Historically, only a handful of named storms have formed before the June 1 official start, and none have developed in 2026 so far. NOAA's updated seasonal outlook, due May 21, could provide further clarity on any early-June risk, but present data support the market's strong consensus against pre-season development.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Thị trường mở: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$341,219Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The National Hurricane Center's first 2026 Tropical Weather Outlook, issued May 15, shows no tropical cyclone formation expected in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days amid dry air masses and suppressed convection typical of mid-May. Current conditions feature two weak tropical waves moving westward with limited thunderstorm activity, while seasonal forecasts from Colorado State University and others project below-average activity overall due to the likely transition toward El Niño conditions that increase upper-level wind shear. Historically, only a handful of named storms have formed before the June 1 official start, and none have developed in 2026 so far. NOAA's updated seasonal outlook, due May 21, could provide further clarity on any early-June risk, but present data support the market's strong consensus against pre-season development.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Khối lượng
$341,219Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The National Hurricane Center's first 2026 Tropical Weather Outlook, issued May 15, shows no tropical cyclone formation expected in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days amid dry air masses and suppressed convection typical of mid-May. Current conditions feature two weak tropical waves moving westward with limited thunderstorm activity, while seasonal forecasts from Colorado State University and others project below-average activity overall due to the likely transition toward El Niño conditions that increase upper-level wind shear. Historically, only a handful of named storms have formed before the June 1 official start, and none have developed in 2026 so far. NOAA's updated seasonal outlook, due May 21, could provide further clarity on any early-June risk, but present data support the market's strong consensus against pre-season development.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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