Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature near 29°C in Chengdu on May 17, reflecting typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin with moderate humidity and light winds. Numerical weather prediction models show close agreement on daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, but small differences in cloud timing and urban heat island effects create narrow spreads across the 28–30°C outcomes that traders have priced most heavily. Official observations from local stations will resolve the exact maximum, with historical May highs averaging 27–28°C providing context for the current mild anomaly.