Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 21?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 21?
27°C 56%
28°C 41%
26°C 4.7%
29°C 2.7%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 21, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
56%
28°C
41%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 56%
28°C 41%
26°C 4.7%
29°C 2.7%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 21, 2026
22°C or below
$328 KL.
<1%
23°C
$194 KL.
<1%
24°C
$174 KL.
1%
25°C
$70 KL.
2%
26°C
$107 KL.
5%
27°C
$189 KL.
56%
28°C
$831 KL.
41%
29°C
$109 KL.
3%
30°C
$546 KL.
<1%
31°C
$493 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$406 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,446Ngày kết thúc
Jul 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,446Ngày kết thúc
Jul 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp