Amy Klobuchar's entry into the open-seat race after incumbent Tim Walz withdrew early in 2026 has solidified Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party dominance in the November 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial contest. The U.S. senator's strong statewide profile, consistent polling leads exceeding 10-15 points against Republican contenders like Lisa Demuth or Kendall Qualls, and the state's recent voting patterns underpin trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. Primary elections scheduled for August 11 offer limited opportunity for shifts, while Republican efforts focus on economic messaging and party endorsement battles. Late developments such as a major candidate controversy, significant polling movement in battleground areas, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates favor the current positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMinnesota Governor Election Winner
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
$59,561 KL.
$59,561 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
4%
$59,561 KL.
$59,561 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$27,250 KL.
94%
Republican
$32,311 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Amy Klobuchar's entry into the open-seat race after incumbent Tim Walz withdrew early in 2026 has solidified Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party dominance in the November 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial contest. The U.S. senator's strong statewide profile, consistent polling leads exceeding 10-15 points against Republican contenders like Lisa Demuth or Kendall Qualls, and the state's recent voting patterns underpin trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. Primary elections scheduled for August 11 offer limited opportunity for shifts, while Republican efforts focus on economic messaging and party endorsement battles. Late developments such as a major candidate controversy, significant polling movement in battleground areas, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates favor the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$59,561Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Amy Klobuchar's entry into the open-seat race after incumbent Tim Walz withdrew early in 2026 has solidified Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party dominance in the November 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial contest. The U.S. senator's strong statewide profile, consistent polling leads exceeding 10-15 points against Republican contenders like Lisa Demuth or Kendall Qualls, and the state's recent voting patterns underpin trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. Primary elections scheduled for August 11 offer limited opportunity for shifts, while Republican efforts focus on economic messaging and party endorsement battles. Late developments such as a major candidate controversy, significant polling movement in battleground areas, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates favor the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$59,561Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amy Klobuchar's entry into the open-seat race after incumbent Tim Walz withdrew early in 2026 has solidified Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party dominance in the November 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial contest. The U.S. senator's strong statewide profile, consistent polling leads exceeding 10-15 points against Republican contenders like Lisa Demuth or Kendall Qualls, and the state's recent voting patterns underpin trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. Primary elections scheduled for August 11 offer limited opportunity for shifts, while Republican efforts focus on economic messaging and party endorsement battles. Late developments such as a major candidate controversy, significant polling movement in battleground areas, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates favor the current positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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