Incumbent Wesley Bell secured a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026, Missouri Democratic primary for the 1st Congressional District, outpacing former Representative Cori Bush by roughly 22 points with nearly all votes counted. This outcome reflects Bell's structural advantages as the sitting member, including a substantial fundraising edge, endorsements from House Democratic leadership and the Congressional Black Caucus, and external support that helped widen his margin from the 2024 contest. Minor candidates captured negligible shares, reinforcing the two-way race dynamics. Trader consensus on a 16-point-plus victory aligns with these verified results and historical patterns for well-funded incumbents in safe Democratic seats. Late shifts remain unlikely absent unresolved certification disputes or official vote adjustments exceeding the current gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBell 16%+ 98.5%
Bell 12–16% 2.8%
Bell <4% <1%
Bell 4–8% <1%
$33,545 KL.
$33,545 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
Bell <4%
<1%
Bell 4–8%
<1%
Bell 8–12%
<1%
Bell 12–16%
3%
Bell 16%+
99%
Bell 16%+ 98.5%
Bell 12–16% 2.8%
Bell <4% <1%
Bell 4–8% <1%
$33,545 KL.
$33,545 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
Bell <4%
$7,606 KL.
<1%
Bell 4–8%
$5,115 KL.
<1%
Bell 8–12%
$1,863 KL.
<1%
Bell 12–16%
$1,577 KL.
3%
Bell 16%+
$2,086 KL.
99%
The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Incumbent Wesley Bell secured a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026, Missouri Democratic primary for the 1st Congressional District, outpacing former Representative Cori Bush by roughly 22 points with nearly all votes counted. This outcome reflects Bell's structural advantages as the sitting member, including a substantial fundraising edge, endorsements from House Democratic leadership and the Congressional Black Caucus, and external support that helped widen his margin from the 2024 contest. Minor candidates captured negligible shares, reinforcing the two-way race dynamics. Trader consensus on a 16-point-plus victory aligns with these verified results and historical patterns for well-funded incumbents in safe Democratic seats. Late shifts remain unlikely absent unresolved certification disputes or official vote adjustments exceeding the current gap.
The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Jul 26, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Khối lượng
$33,545Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 26, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Incumbent Wesley Bell secured a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026, Missouri Democratic primary for the 1st Congressional District, outpacing former Representative Cori Bush by roughly 22 points with nearly all votes counted. This outcome reflects Bell's structural advantages as the sitting member, including a substantial fundraising edge, endorsements from House Democratic leadership and the Congressional Black Caucus, and external support that helped widen his margin from the 2024 contest. Minor candidates captured negligible shares, reinforcing the two-way race dynamics. Trader consensus on a 16-point-plus victory aligns with these verified results and historical patterns for well-funded incumbents in safe Democratic seats. Late shifts remain unlikely absent unresolved certification disputes or official vote adjustments exceeding the current gap.
The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$33,545Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 26, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Wesley Bell secured a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026, Missouri Democratic primary for the 1st Congressional District, outpacing former Representative Cori Bush by roughly 22 points with nearly all votes counted. This outcome reflects Bell's structural advantages as the sitting member, including a substantial fundraising edge, endorsements from House Democratic leadership and the Congressional Black Caucus, and external support that helped widen his margin from the 2024 contest. Minor candidates captured negligible shares, reinforcing the two-way race dynamics. Trader consensus on a 16-point-plus victory aligns with these verified results and historical patterns for well-funded incumbents in safe Democratic seats. Late shifts remain unlikely absent unresolved certification disputes or official vote adjustments exceeding the current gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp