US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on January 3, 2026, during operations in Caracas, after which he was transported to the United States and placed in federal custody in New York to face drug trafficking and related charges. Venezuela’s acting leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued an amnesty process releasing hundreds of political prisoners domestically, while foreign minister statements continue to demand Maduro’s immediate return. Diplomatic calls from allies including China and Belarus have urged his release, and ongoing negotiations over Venezuelan oil access and governance stability remain tied to the status of his legal proceedings. Resolution of the custody outcome hinges on federal court timelines, any plea arrangements, or broader bilateral agreements between Washington and Caracas.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$2,631,415 KL.
Jan 31, 2026
31 tháng 12
13%
$2,631,415 KL.
31 tháng 12
$235,966 KL.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on January 3, 2026, during operations in Caracas, after which he was transported to the United States and placed in federal custody in New York to face drug trafficking and related charges. Venezuela’s acting leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued an amnesty process releasing hundreds of political prisoners domestically, while foreign minister statements continue to demand Maduro’s immediate return. Diplomatic calls from allies including China and Belarus have urged his release, and ongoing negotiations over Venezuelan oil access and governance stability remain tied to the status of his legal proceedings. Resolution of the custody outcome hinges on federal court timelines, any plea arrangements, or broader bilateral agreements between Washington and Caracas.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,631,415Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on January 3, 2026, during operations in Caracas, after which he was transported to the United States and placed in federal custody in New York to face drug trafficking and related charges. Venezuela’s acting leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued an amnesty process releasing hundreds of political prisoners domestically, while foreign minister statements continue to demand Maduro’s immediate return. Diplomatic calls from allies including China and Belarus have urged his release, and ongoing negotiations over Venezuelan oil access and governance stability remain tied to the status of his legal proceedings. Resolution of the custody outcome hinges on federal court timelines, any plea arrangements, or broader bilateral agreements between Washington and Caracas.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,631,415Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on January 3, 2026, during operations in Caracas, after which he was transported to the United States and placed in federal custody in New York to face drug trafficking and related charges. Venezuela’s acting leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued an amnesty process releasing hundreds of political prisoners domestically, while foreign minister statements continue to demand Maduro’s immediate return. Diplomatic calls from allies including China and Belarus have urged his release, and ongoing negotiations over Venezuelan oil access and governance stability remain tied to the status of his legal proceedings. Resolution of the custody outcome hinges on federal court timelines, any plea arrangements, or broader bilateral agreements between Washington and Caracas.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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