**Early in the 2027 Oscar cycle for Best Documentary Feature, the race remains wide open with no dominant frontrunner, as reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across leading titles.** Festival momentum and critical reception are shaping sentiment, with Tutu (Sam Pollard) benefiting from its Berlinale premiere, Berlin Peace Film Prize, and strong reviews as an intimate portrait of Archbishop Desmond Tutu’s anti-apartheid legacy. American Doctor and Once Upon a Time in Harlem (Neon) are gaining traction through distributor backing and historical storytelling, while Nuisance Bear (A24) leverages its Sundance Grand Jury Prize win on climate themes. Upcoming Venice, Telluride, and TIFF premieres, along with guild and critics’ awards, will likely shift probabilities as more films enter contention and voter narratives solidify.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
American Doctor 19%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 17%
Nuisance Bear 14%
Tutu 9.3%
$10,462 KL.
$10,462 KL.
American Doctor
19%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
17%
Nuisance Bear
14%
Tutu
28%
One in a Million
7%
Musk
5%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
1%
American Doctor 19%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 17%
Nuisance Bear 14%
Tutu 9.3%
$10,462 KL.
$10,462 KL.
American Doctor
19%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
17%
Nuisance Bear
14%
Tutu
28%
One in a Million
7%
Musk
5%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Early in the 2027 Oscar cycle for Best Documentary Feature, the race remains wide open with no dominant frontrunner, as reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across leading titles.** Festival momentum and critical reception are shaping sentiment, with Tutu (Sam Pollard) benefiting from its Berlinale premiere, Berlin Peace Film Prize, and strong reviews as an intimate portrait of Archbishop Desmond Tutu’s anti-apartheid legacy. American Doctor and Once Upon a Time in Harlem (Neon) are gaining traction through distributor backing and historical storytelling, while Nuisance Bear (A24) leverages its Sundance Grand Jury Prize win on climate themes. Upcoming Venice, Telluride, and TIFF premieres, along with guild and critics’ awards, will likely shift probabilities as more films enter contention and voter narratives solidify.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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