Wild Horse Nine holds the clearest edge in this wide-open Best Original Screenplay market thanks to Martin McDonagh’s proven track record with sharp, character-driven originals and its stacked cast of Sam Rockwell, John Malkovich, and Steve Buscemi ahead of its November 2026 release. The Black Ball’s Cannes Best Director win and strong critical reception have kept it competitive as an ambitious Spanish epic, though questions linger about category placement given its Lorca roots. With Digger, Fjord, Obsession, and The Odyssey also generating early industry chatter, the race remains fluid; guild nominations, fall festival premieres, and year-end critics’ awards will be the decisive swing factors in a cycle still months from any firm consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 34%
Digger 11%
Fjord 8%
Obsession 7%
Wild Horse Nine
34%
Digger
11%
Fjord
8%
Obsession
7%
The Drama
6%
Josephine
6%
The Debut
23%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
The Invite
5%
A Place in Hell
4%
The Odyssey
3%
Club Kid
3%
Elsinore
3%
Fatherland
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
24%
The Black Ball
21%
Forgotten Island
2%
Wild Horse Nine 34%
Digger 11%
Fjord 8%
Obsession 7%
Wild Horse Nine
34%
Digger
11%
Fjord
8%
Obsession
7%
The Drama
6%
Josephine
6%
The Debut
23%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
The Invite
5%
A Place in Hell
4%
The Odyssey
3%
Club Kid
3%
Elsinore
3%
Fatherland
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
24%
The Black Ball
21%
Forgotten Island
2%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wild Horse Nine holds the clearest edge in this wide-open Best Original Screenplay market thanks to Martin McDonagh’s proven track record with sharp, character-driven originals and its stacked cast of Sam Rockwell, John Malkovich, and Steve Buscemi ahead of its November 2026 release. The Black Ball’s Cannes Best Director win and strong critical reception have kept it competitive as an ambitious Spanish epic, though questions linger about category placement given its Lorca roots. With Digger, Fjord, Obsession, and The Odyssey also generating early industry chatter, the race remains fluid; guild nominations, fall festival premieres, and year-end critics’ awards will be the decisive swing factors in a cycle still months from any firm consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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