Recent national polls from early June 2026 place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s, with aggregates from sources like Emerson, Marquette, and Ballotpedia showing figures between 36% and 40% amid disapproval ratings near 60%. The Iran conflict and persistent inflation pressures, including voter concerns over gas prices and living costs, have anchored ratings near second-term lows. Partisan divides sustain core Republican support while limiting broader gains, producing a narrow band of outcomes clustered around 38-40%. Upcoming economic indicators, any diplomatic shifts on Iran, or final pre-June 19 survey releases could narrow the range by clarifying short-term trends in public sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật<38.0 43%
38.0–38.4 42%
38.5–38.9 42%
39.0–39.4 42%
<38.0
43%
38.0–38.4
42%
38.5–38.9
42%
39.0–39.4
42%
39.5–39.9
41%
40.0+
42%
<38.0 43%
38.0–38.4 42%
38.5–38.9 42%
39.0–39.4 42%
<38.0
43%
38.0–38.4
42%
38.5–38.9
42%
39.0–39.4
42%
39.5–39.9
41%
40.0+
42%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls from early June 2026 place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s, with aggregates from sources like Emerson, Marquette, and Ballotpedia showing figures between 36% and 40% amid disapproval ratings near 60%. The Iran conflict and persistent inflation pressures, including voter concerns over gas prices and living costs, have anchored ratings near second-term lows. Partisan divides sustain core Republican support while limiting broader gains, producing a narrow band of outcomes clustered around 38-40%. Upcoming economic indicators, any diplomatic shifts on Iran, or final pre-June 19 survey releases could narrow the range by clarifying short-term trends in public sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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