US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 prompted Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal to install his former vice president, Delcy Rodríguez, as interim head of state, yet state institutions continue to recognize Maduro in the constitutional line of succession, anchoring his leading market position. Rodríguez has since consolidated authority through military command changes and institutional restructuring, while pursuing economic opening under US engagement, supporting her secondary standing. Opposition figures María Corina Machado and Edmundo González retain backing from significant domestic constituencies and have signaled returns or election demands by year-end, though they remain outside formal power structures for now. This transitional dynamic, with no scheduled national vote and ongoing purges of Maduro-era loyalists, shapes trader assessments of continuity versus potential shifts through the remainder of 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLãnh đạo Venezuela cuối năm 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 64.4%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 7%
Jorge Rodríguez 1.1%
$88,253,050 KL.
$88,253,050 KL.
Nicolás Maduro
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
21%
María Corina Machado
7%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Không có nguyên thủ quốc gia
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 64.4%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 7%
Jorge Rodríguez 1.1%
$88,253,050 KL.
$88,253,050 KL.
Nicolás Maduro
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
21%
María Corina Machado
7%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Không có nguyên thủ quốc gia
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 prompted Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal to install his former vice president, Delcy Rodríguez, as interim head of state, yet state institutions continue to recognize Maduro in the constitutional line of succession, anchoring his leading market position. Rodríguez has since consolidated authority through military command changes and institutional restructuring, while pursuing economic opening under US engagement, supporting her secondary standing. Opposition figures María Corina Machado and Edmundo González retain backing from significant domestic constituencies and have signaled returns or election demands by year-end, though they remain outside formal power structures for now. This transitional dynamic, with no scheduled national vote and ongoing purges of Maduro-era loyalists, shapes trader assessments of continuity versus potential shifts through the remainder of 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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