Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the Virginia Senate race due to consistent polling leads of nearly 20 points, solid ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report, and Virginia's recent federal electoral patterns. Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary, trails significantly in name recognition and fundraising as the general election approaches on November 3. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democrat probability aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late developments such as national political swings, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that could alter turnout or voter sentiment in this battleground state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVirginia Senate Election Winner
Virginia Senate Election Winner
$13,802 KL.
$13,802 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
6%
$13,802 KL.
$13,802 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$8,722 KL.
94%
Republican
$5,081 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the Virginia Senate race due to consistent polling leads of nearly 20 points, solid ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report, and Virginia's recent federal electoral patterns. Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary, trails significantly in name recognition and fundraising as the general election approaches on November 3. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democrat probability aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late developments such as national political swings, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that could alter turnout or voter sentiment in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,802Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the Virginia Senate race due to consistent polling leads of nearly 20 points, solid ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report, and Virginia's recent federal electoral patterns. Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary, trails significantly in name recognition and fundraising as the general election approaches on November 3. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democrat probability aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late developments such as national political swings, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that could alter turnout or voter sentiment in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$13,802Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the Virginia Senate race due to consistent polling leads of nearly 20 points, solid ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report, and Virginia's recent federal electoral patterns. Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary, trails significantly in name recognition and fundraising as the general election approaches on November 3. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democrat probability aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late developments such as national political swings, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that could alter turnout or voter sentiment in this battleground state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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