Ongoing tensions from Iran's February 2026 closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the U.S.-Iran conflict have driven trader focus on potential multinational naval transits, following President Trump's March calls for a coalition involving the United Kingdom, France, Japan, South Korea, and others to conduct freedom-of-navigation operations alongside U.S. forces. Iran issued warnings against European warship deployments in May, contributing to cautious responses and limited confirmed commitments beyond U.S. escort and overwatch activities. Recent June developments include U.S. Central Command downing Iranian drones, partial shipping resumption through coordinated passages, and discussions of mine-clearing support from allies such as the UK and France. Any additional deployments by the June 30 resolution date would likely hinge on progress in stalled negotiations or expanded multinational missions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
$1,125,668 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
United States
6%
Oman
4%
Qatar
4%
Saudi Arabia
3%
Pakistan
3%
South Korea
3%
Greece
3%
Netherlands
2%
France
2%
Kuwait
1%
United Kingdom
1%
Bahrain
1%
Australia
1%
Germany
1%
Japan
1%
Italy
1%
UAE
1%
Canada
1%
India
<1%
$1,125,668 KL.
United States
$41,334 KL.
6%
Oman
$260 KL.
4%
Qatar
$8,687 KL.
4%
Saudi Arabia
$950 KL.
3%
Pakistan
$551 KL.
3%
South Korea
$601 KL.
3%
Greece
$26,491 KL.
3%
Netherlands
$35,146 KL.
2%
France
$98,774 KL.
2%
Kuwait
$449 KL.
1%
United Kingdom
$835,086 KL.
1%
Bahrain
$548 KL.
1%
Australia
$12,239 KL.
1%
Germany
$28,053 KL.
1%
Japan
$3,814 KL.
1%
Italy
$31,234 KL.
1%
UAE
$233 KL.
1%
Canada
$617 KL.
1%
India
$600 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing tensions from Iran's February 2026 closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the U.S.-Iran conflict have driven trader focus on potential multinational naval transits, following President Trump's March calls for a coalition involving the United Kingdom, France, Japan, South Korea, and others to conduct freedom-of-navigation operations alongside U.S. forces. Iran issued warnings against European warship deployments in May, contributing to cautious responses and limited confirmed commitments beyond U.S. escort and overwatch activities. Recent June developments include U.S. Central Command downing Iranian drones, partial shipping resumption through coordinated passages, and discussions of mine-clearing support from allies such as the UK and France. Any additional deployments by the June 30 resolution date would likely hinge on progress in stalled negotiations or expanded multinational missions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Thị trường mở: May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,125,668Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing tensions from Iran's February 2026 closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the U.S.-Iran conflict have driven trader focus on potential multinational naval transits, following President Trump's March calls for a coalition involving the United Kingdom, France, Japan, South Korea, and others to conduct freedom-of-navigation operations alongside U.S. forces. Iran issued warnings against European warship deployments in May, contributing to cautious responses and limited confirmed commitments beyond U.S. escort and overwatch activities. Recent June developments include U.S. Central Command downing Iranian drones, partial shipping resumption through coordinated passages, and discussions of mine-clearing support from allies such as the UK and France. Any additional deployments by the June 30 resolution date would likely hinge on progress in stalled negotiations or expanded multinational missions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Khối lượng
$1,125,668Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing tensions from Iran's February 2026 closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the U.S.-Iran conflict have driven trader focus on potential multinational naval transits, following President Trump's March calls for a coalition involving the United Kingdom, France, Japan, South Korea, and others to conduct freedom-of-navigation operations alongside U.S. forces. Iran issued warnings against European warship deployments in May, contributing to cautious responses and limited confirmed commitments beyond U.S. escort and overwatch activities. Recent June developments include U.S. Central Command downing Iranian drones, partial shipping resumption through coordinated passages, and discussions of mine-clearing support from allies such as the UK and France. Any additional deployments by the June 30 resolution date would likely hinge on progress in stalled negotiations or expanded multinational missions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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