FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April 30 confirmation that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup, combined with U.S. assurances on player visas for those without Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps ties, has driven the overwhelming trader consensus behind no replacement at 91.5%. Iranian federation statements demanding participation guarantees while rejecting any boycott, alongside Italy's swift dismissal of speculative replacement proposals, have further solidified this positioning. Recent form and qualification integrity remain unchanged, with no official FIFA action or withdrawal signals emerging. Geopolitical escalations around travel restrictions or an unexpected Iranian pullout represent the primary realistic scenarios that could reopen the market for alternatives like Italy or UAE.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?
Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?
No Replacement 91.0%
Italy 4.3%
UAE 2.8%
Other 1.9%
$33,942 KL.
$33,942 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
91%
Italy
4%
UAE
3%
Other
2%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 91.0%
Italy 4.3%
UAE 2.8%
Other 1.9%
$33,942 KL.
$33,942 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
$10,631 KL.
91%
Italy
$16,069 KL.
4%
UAE
$3,021 KL.
3%
Other
$2,500 KL.
2%
Bolivia
$1,721 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April 30 confirmation that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup, combined with U.S. assurances on player visas for those without Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps ties, has driven the overwhelming trader consensus behind no replacement at 91.5%. Iranian federation statements demanding participation guarantees while rejecting any boycott, alongside Italy's swift dismissal of speculative replacement proposals, have further solidified this positioning. Recent form and qualification integrity remain unchanged, with no official FIFA action or withdrawal signals emerging. Geopolitical escalations around travel restrictions or an unexpected Iranian pullout represent the primary realistic scenarios that could reopen the market for alternatives like Italy or UAE.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Khối lượng
$33,942Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April 30 confirmation that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup, combined with U.S. assurances on player visas for those without Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps ties, has driven the overwhelming trader consensus behind no replacement at 91.5%. Iranian federation statements demanding participation guarantees while rejecting any boycott, alongside Italy's swift dismissal of speculative replacement proposals, have further solidified this positioning. Recent form and qualification integrity remain unchanged, with no official FIFA action or withdrawal signals emerging. Geopolitical escalations around travel restrictions or an unexpected Iranian pullout represent the primary realistic scenarios that could reopen the market for alternatives like Italy or UAE.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$33,942Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April 30 confirmation that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup, combined with U.S. assurances on player visas for those without Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps ties, has driven the overwhelming trader consensus behind no replacement at 91.5%. Iranian federation statements demanding participation guarantees while rejecting any boycott, alongside Italy's swift dismissal of speculative replacement proposals, have further solidified this positioning. Recent form and qualification integrity remain unchanged, with no official FIFA action or withdrawal signals emerging. Geopolitical escalations around travel restrictions or an unexpected Iranian pullout represent the primary realistic scenarios that could reopen the market for alternatives like Italy or UAE.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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