Apple’s ongoing efforts to qualify CXMT DRAM for China-market devices face substantial regulatory and supply constraints that underpin the market’s 81% “No” odds. Despite June 2026 lobbying for White House assurances against Entity List placement and subsequent testing of CXMT chips in iPhones and MacBooks, the Pentagon’s 1260H blacklist, congressional opposition, and CXMT’s near-100% capacity utilization through 2027 limit near-term commercial purchases. AI-driven shortages have raised prices across suppliers without CXMT offering meaningful cost relief, while export controls restrict custom specifications. Traders view these barriers, plus typical qualification timelines, as likely to prevent meaningful 2026 volumes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật19% khả năng
$21,868 KL.
$21,868 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
19% khả năng
$21,868 KL.
$21,868 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple’s ongoing efforts to qualify CXMT DRAM for China-market devices face substantial regulatory and supply constraints that underpin the market’s 81% “No” odds. Despite June 2026 lobbying for White House assurances against Entity List placement and subsequent testing of CXMT chips in iPhones and MacBooks, the Pentagon’s 1260H blacklist, congressional opposition, and CXMT’s near-100% capacity utilization through 2027 limit near-term commercial purchases. AI-driven shortages have raised prices across suppliers without CXMT offering meaningful cost relief, while export controls restrict custom specifications. Traders view these barriers, plus typical qualification timelines, as likely to prevent meaningful 2026 volumes.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$21,868Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple’s ongoing efforts to qualify CXMT DRAM for China-market devices face substantial regulatory and supply constraints that underpin the market’s 81% “No” odds. Despite June 2026 lobbying for White House assurances against Entity List placement and subsequent testing of CXMT chips in iPhones and MacBooks, the Pentagon’s 1260H blacklist, congressional opposition, and CXMT’s near-100% capacity utilization through 2027 limit near-term commercial purchases. AI-driven shortages have raised prices across suppliers without CXMT offering meaningful cost relief, while export controls restrict custom specifications. Traders view these barriers, plus typical qualification timelines, as likely to prevent meaningful 2026 volumes.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$21,868Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Apple’s ongoing efforts to qualify CXMT DRAM for China-market devices face substantial regulatory and supply constraints that underpin the market’s 81% “No” odds. Despite June 2026 lobbying for White House assurances against Entity List placement and subsequent testing of CXMT chips in iPhones and MacBooks, the Pentagon’s 1260H blacklist, congressional opposition, and CXMT’s near-100% capacity utilization through 2027 limit near-term commercial purchases. AI-driven shortages have raised prices across suppliers without CXMT offering meaningful cost relief, while export controls restrict custom specifications. Traders view these barriers, plus typical qualification timelines, as likely to prevent meaningful 2026 volumes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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