The tight clustering around 50% for multiple teams reflects broad pre-tournament uncertainty over which squad will post the strongest disciplinary record at the 2026 World Cup. Fair play points hinge on fewest yellow and red cards accumulated across group and knockout stages, a metric shaped by playing style, refereeing tendencies in specific matches, and squad discipline under pressure. Teams like Japan and Norway sit ahead on implied probability due to consistent historical card-low performances in recent cycles, yet the field remains competitive because comparable European and South American sides share similar reputations for controlled aggression and low foul rates. No single roster holds a decisive edge in expected card volume, leaving room for late roster changes, match-specific officiating, or unexpected physical contests to shift outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWorld Cup: Fair Play Award Winner
World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner
Norway 23.8%
Japan 23.2%
Spain 10%
Brazil 9%
$52,363 KL.
$52,363 KL.
Norway
24%
Japan
23%
Spain
10%
Brazil
9%
Belgium
9%
France
8%
Mexico
6%
Portugal
6%
England
5%
Germany
5%
Iran
5%
Argentina
5%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4%
Netherlands
3%
United States
3%
Croatia
20%
South Korea
2%
Uzbekistan
2%
Ivory Coast
1%
Switzerland
1%
Colombia
6%
Canada
1%
Morocco
1%
Sweden
1%
Tunisia
1%
New Zealand
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Ecuador
1%
Paraguay
1%
Scotland
1%
Haiti
1%
Egypt
<1%
Panama
<1%
South Africa
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Türkiye
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Norway 23.8%
Japan 23.2%
Spain 10%
Brazil 9%
$52,363 KL.
$52,363 KL.
Norway
24%
Japan
23%
Spain
10%
Brazil
9%
Belgium
9%
France
8%
Mexico
6%
Portugal
6%
England
5%
Germany
5%
Iran
5%
Argentina
5%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4%
Netherlands
3%
United States
3%
Croatia
20%
South Korea
2%
Uzbekistan
2%
Ivory Coast
1%
Switzerland
1%
Colombia
6%
Canada
1%
Morocco
1%
Sweden
1%
Tunisia
1%
New Zealand
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Ecuador
1%
Paraguay
1%
Scotland
1%
Haiti
1%
Egypt
<1%
Panama
<1%
South Africa
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Türkiye
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 3, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering around 50% for multiple teams reflects broad pre-tournament uncertainty over which squad will post the strongest disciplinary record at the 2026 World Cup. Fair play points hinge on fewest yellow and red cards accumulated across group and knockout stages, a metric shaped by playing style, refereeing tendencies in specific matches, and squad discipline under pressure. Teams like Japan and Norway sit ahead on implied probability due to consistent historical card-low performances in recent cycles, yet the field remains competitive because comparable European and South American sides share similar reputations for controlled aggression and low foul rates. No single roster holds a decisive edge in expected card volume, leaving room for late roster changes, match-specific officiating, or unexpected physical contests to shift outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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