Trader consensus heavily favors Jannik Sinner at 52.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Men's Wimbledon, driven by his World No. 1 status, unmatched 33-2 record this season, recent Madrid Masters title over Zverev, and ongoing 31-match ATP Masters 1000 win streak tied in Rome against Pellegrino as of May 12. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 13.0% despite elite grass-court prowess—two Wimbledon titles, 91% career win rate, four grass crowns—but his right wrist injury prompted withdrawals from Rome and French Open title defense, raising doubts on grass prep. Novak Djokovic's 7.9% reflects seven SW19 triumphs yet underscores 2026 struggles, including Rome opener loss to Prizmic, amid age-39 physical demands on fast grass. Zverev's 3.8% stems from Madrid final run, boosting his dark-horse appeal in a wide-open field beyond the top trio.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於揚尼克·辛納 53%
卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯 13%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇 7.9%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫 3.8%
$4,392,713 交易量
$4,392,713 交易量
揚尼克·辛納
53%
卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯
13%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇
8%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫
4%
泰勒·弗里茨
2%
本·謝爾頓
2%
阿列克謝·波皮林
2%
Jack Draper
2%
達尼爾·梅德韋傑夫
1%
亞歷克斯·德米納爾
1%
亞瑟·菲斯
1%
馬泰奧·貝雷蒂尼
1%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
洛倫佐·穆塞蒂
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
亞歷山大·布布里克
1%
費利克斯·奧熱-阿利亞西姆
1%
喬瓦尼·姆佩奇·佩里卡
1%
安德烈·魯布廖夫
1%
格里戈爾·季米特洛夫
1%
湯瑪什·馬哈奇
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
胡貝特·胡爾卡奇
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
尼古拉斯·賈里
<1%
卡梅倫·諾里
<1%
卡斯帕·魯德
<1%
湯米·保羅
<1%
斯特凡諾斯·西西帕斯
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亞福
<1%
塞巴斯蒂安·科爾達
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
烏戈·亨伯特
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
卡倫·哈查諾夫
<1%
馬林·契利奇
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
洛倫佐·索內戈
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
揚尼克·辛納 53%
卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯 13%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇 7.9%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫 3.8%
$4,392,713 交易量
$4,392,713 交易量
揚尼克·辛納
53%
卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯
13%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇
8%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫
4%
泰勒·弗里茨
2%
本·謝爾頓
2%
阿列克謝·波皮林
2%
Jack Draper
2%
達尼爾·梅德韋傑夫
1%
亞歷克斯·德米納爾
1%
亞瑟·菲斯
1%
馬泰奧·貝雷蒂尼
1%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
洛倫佐·穆塞蒂
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
亞歷山大·布布里克
1%
費利克斯·奧熱-阿利亞西姆
1%
喬瓦尼·姆佩奇·佩里卡
1%
安德烈·魯布廖夫
1%
格里戈爾·季米特洛夫
1%
湯瑪什·馬哈奇
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
胡貝特·胡爾卡奇
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
尼古拉斯·賈里
<1%
卡梅倫·諾里
<1%
卡斯帕·魯德
<1%
湯米·保羅
<1%
斯特凡諾斯·西西帕斯
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亞福
<1%
塞巴斯蒂安·科爾達
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
烏戈·亨伯特
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
卡倫·哈查諾夫
<1%
馬林·契利奇
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
洛倫佐·索內戈
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Jannik Sinner at 52.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Men's Wimbledon, driven by his World No. 1 status, unmatched 33-2 record this season, recent Madrid Masters title over Zverev, and ongoing 31-match ATP Masters 1000 win streak tied in Rome against Pellegrino as of May 12. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 13.0% despite elite grass-court prowess—two Wimbledon titles, 91% career win rate, four grass crowns—but his right wrist injury prompted withdrawals from Rome and French Open title defense, raising doubts on grass prep. Novak Djokovic's 7.9% reflects seven SW19 triumphs yet underscores 2026 struggles, including Rome opener loss to Prizmic, amid age-39 physical demands on fast grass. Zverev's 3.8% stems from Madrid final run, boosting his dark-horse appeal in a wide-open field beyond the top trio.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions