Skip to main content
icon for 2026年美國職棒大聯盟本壘打德比：最長本壘打
運動·全壘打德比

2026年美國職棒大聯盟本壘打德比：最長本壘打

icon for 2026年美國職棒大聯盟本壘打德比：最長本壘打
運動·全壘打德比

2026年美國職棒大聯盟本壘打德比：最長本壘打

$1,818 交易量

2026-07-13
Polymarket

$1,818 交易量

Polymarket

460+ Feet

$5 交易量

96%

480+ Feet

$45 交易量

-

500+ Feet

$323 交易量

51%

510+ Feet

$214 交易量

52%

520+ Feet

$1,231 交易量

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby field features eight power hitters competing tonight at Citizens Bank Park, where the longest single home run determines the market outcome. Pre-event analysis centers on raw exit velocity, launch conditions, and individual max distances tracked this season, with Jac Caglianone posting the field's highest average exit velo on fly balls and longest average homer distance around 414 feet. Junior Caminero owns a 463-foot regular-season blast, while Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper bring proven track records of tape-measure shots in prior All-Star settings. Pitching matchups, including familiar bullpen catchers or coaches throwing batting practice, along with the ballpark's dimensions and potential weather, shape expectations for carry. Recent form shows hot streaks for several participants, but distance remains highly variable given the exhibition format and tiebreaker rules that advance the longest homer in case of first-round ties. Trader consensus reflects the closely contested nature among the top power profiles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,818
結束日期
2026-07-13
市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby field features eight power hitters competing tonight at Citizens Bank Park, where the longest single home run determines the market outcome. Pre-event analysis centers on raw exit velocity, launch conditions, and individual max distances tracked this season, with Jac Caglianone posting the field's highest average exit velo on fly balls and longest average homer distance around 414 feet. Junior Caminero owns a 463-foot regular-season blast, while Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper bring proven track records of tape-measure shots in prior All-Star settings. Pitching matchups, including familiar bullpen catchers or coaches throwing batting practice, along with the ballpark's dimensions and potential weather, shape expectations for carry. Recent form shows hot streaks for several participants, but distance remains highly variable given the exhibition format and tiebreaker rules that advance the longest homer in case of first-round ties. Trader consensus reflects the closely contested nature among the top power profiles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,818
結束日期
2026-07-13
市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年美國職棒大聯盟本壘打德比：最長本壘打" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "460+ Feet" at 96%, followed by "510+ Feet" at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026年美國職棒大聯盟本壘打德比：最長本壘打" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026年美國職棒大聯盟本壘打德比：最長本壘打," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年美國職棒大聯盟本壘打德比：最長本壘打" is "460+ Feet" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "510+ Feet" at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年美國職棒大聯盟本壘打德比：最長本壘打" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.