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icon for MLB全壘打德比2026 ：冠軍
運動·棒球

MLB全壘打德比2026 ：冠軍

icon for MLB全壘打德比2026 ：冠軍
運動·棒球

MLB全壘打德比2026 ：冠軍

Jac Caglianone 49%

Willson Contreras 48.4%

Jordan Walker 48.4%

Ben Rice 0

Polymarket
最新

Jac Caglianone 49%

Willson Contreras 48.4%

Jordan Walker 48.4%

Ben Rice 0

Polymarket
最新

Jac Caglianone

$42 交易量

49%

Willson Contreras

$34 交易量

48%

Jordan Walker

$74 交易量

48%

Ben Rice

$67 交易量

-

Junior Caminero

$44 交易量

-

Bryce Harper

$27 交易量

-

凱爾·施瓦伯

$35 交易量

-

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.**Willson Contreras and Ben Rice lead trader consensus at 73% implied probability each, driven by their standout 2026 power production and recent All-Star nods.** Contreras has posted a .287/.381/.545 slash line with 20 home runs for the Red Sox through early July, while Rice has belted 26 homers for the Yankees amid elite batted-ball metrics. Field announcements over the past week, including Junior Caminero, Jac Caglianone, Jordan Walker, and hometown Phillies star Bryce Harper at Citizens Bank Park, have introduced depth that keeps the market competitive. Caminero’s prior Derby experience and Walker’s breakout add realistic upset paths, resulting in bunched probabilities around the 49-50% range for several entrants and reflecting the format’s volatility across three rounds.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.
交易量
$325
結束日期
2026-07-13
市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.**Willson Contreras and Ben Rice lead trader consensus at 73% implied probability each, driven by their standout 2026 power production and recent All-Star nods.** Contreras has posted a .287/.381/.545 slash line with 20 home runs for the Red Sox through early July, while Rice has belted 26 homers for the Yankees amid elite batted-ball metrics. Field announcements over the past week, including Junior Caminero, Jac Caglianone, Jordan Walker, and hometown Phillies star Bryce Harper at Citizens Bank Park, have introduced depth that keeps the market competitive. Caminero’s prior Derby experience and Walker’s breakout add realistic upset paths, resulting in bunched probabilities around the 49-50% range for several entrants and reflecting the format’s volatility across three rounds.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.
交易量
$325
結束日期
2026-07-13
市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB全壘打德比2026 ：冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jac Caglianone" at 49%, followed by "Willson Contreras" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB全壘打德比2026 ：冠軍" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB全壘打德比2026 ：冠軍," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB全壘打德比2026 ：冠軍" is "Jac Caglianone" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Willson Contreras" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB全壘打德比2026 ：冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.