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icon for 美國職棒大聯盟全壘打德比2026 ：球員晉級半決賽
運動·MLB

美國職棒大聯盟全壘打德比2026 ：球員晉級半決賽

icon for 美國職棒大聯盟全壘打德比2026 ：球員晉級半決賽
運動·MLB

美國職棒大聯盟全壘打德比2026 ：球員晉級半決賽

最新
2026-07-13
Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

Polymarket

Jordan Walker

$0 交易量

73%

Willson Contreras

$0 交易量

50%

Ben Rice

$0 交易量

50%

Jac Caglianone

$0 交易量

50%

Bryce Harper

$0 交易量

50%

Junior Caminero

$0 交易量

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules of the competition. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 T-Mobile Home Run Derby at Citizens Bank Park features a restructured eight-player field and swing-based format emphasizing efficiency over endurance, with 20 swings in Round 1 and the top four advancing to semifinals. Announced participants include Bryce Harper, whose local fan support and recent power output could influence outcomes in front of the Phillies crowd, alongside power leaders Junior Caminero and Ben Rice (both with 26 home runs), Jordan Walker, Willson Contreras, and Jac Caglianone. Two roster spots remain open as of July 10, while the Netflix-broadcast event on July 13 will test recent form, plate discipline, and matchup dynamics among the sluggers in a condensed bracket without traditional timing or outs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules of the competition. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-07-13
市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules of the competition. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules of the competition. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 T-Mobile Home Run Derby at Citizens Bank Park features a restructured eight-player field and swing-based format emphasizing efficiency over endurance, with 20 swings in Round 1 and the top four advancing to semifinals. Announced participants include Bryce Harper, whose local fan support and recent power output could influence outcomes in front of the Phillies crowd, alongside power leaders Junior Caminero and Ben Rice (both with 26 home runs), Jordan Walker, Willson Contreras, and Jac Caglianone. Two roster spots remain open as of July 10, while the Netflix-broadcast event on July 13 will test recent form, plate discipline, and matchup dynamics among the sluggers in a condensed bracket without traditional timing or outs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules of the competition. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-07-13
市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules of the competition. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"美國職棒大聯盟全壘打德比2026 ：球員晉級半決賽" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jac Caglianone" at 74%, followed by "Ben Rice" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"美國職棒大聯盟全壘打德比2026 ：球員晉級半決賽" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "美國職棒大聯盟全壘打德比2026 ：球員晉級半決賽," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "美國職棒大聯盟全壘打德比2026 ：球員晉級半決賽" is "Jac Caglianone" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ben Rice" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "美國職棒大聯盟全壘打德比2026 ：球員晉級半決賽" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.