Trader consensus assigns an 80% implied probability to a Bank of Israel rate cut in late May, driven by the central bank’s easing bias and its updated 2026 inflation forecast of 1.7–2.2%, which sits comfortably below the 1–3% target range and well under the current 4.00% policy rate. The March hold reflected a temporary pause amid energy-driven CPI pressures and geopolitical tensions, yet one-year market-implied inflation expectations have since stabilized near 1.5–2.0%. April CPI data, due before the May 28 meeting, and resilient non-inflationary growth remain the key near-term catalysts that could reinforce the path toward the 3.5% terminal rate projected by Governor Amir Yaron.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於下調 80%
維持不變 20%
提高 <1%
$41,041 交易量
$41,041 交易量
下調
80%
維持不變
20%
提高
1%
下調 80%
維持不變 20%
提高 <1%
$41,041 交易量
$41,041 交易量
下調
80%
維持不變
20%
提高
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns an 80% implied probability to a Bank of Israel rate cut in late May, driven by the central bank’s easing bias and its updated 2026 inflation forecast of 1.7–2.2%, which sits comfortably below the 1–3% target range and well under the current 4.00% policy rate. The March hold reflected a temporary pause amid energy-driven CPI pressures and geopolitical tensions, yet one-year market-implied inflation expectations have since stabilized near 1.5–2.0%. April CPI data, due before the May 28 meeting, and resilient non-inflationary growth remain the key near-term catalysts that could reinforce the path toward the 3.5% terminal rate projected by Governor Amir Yaron.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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