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icon for 告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日

告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日

icon for 告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日

告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日

8月 11

8月 11

Petal - Ariana Grande 97.8%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan 1.9%

I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen 1.0%

Daughter from Hell - Gracie Abrams 1.0%

Polymarket
最新

Petal - Ariana Grande 97.8%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan 1.9%

I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen 1.0%

Daughter from Hell - Gracie Abrams 1.0%

Polymarket
最新

Petal - Ariana Grande

$688 交易量

98%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan

$482 交易量

2%

I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen

$455 交易量

1%

Daughter from Hell - Gracie Abrams

$470 交易量

1%

You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - 奧莉維亞·羅德里戈

$470 交易量

1%

蒲公英 - Ella Langley

$480 交易量

1%

Charli xcx - Music, Fashion, Film

$10 交易量

1%

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 15, 2026". The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ariana Grande’s newly released *Petal* album drives the overwhelming trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability, fueled by first-week projections exceeding 300,000 units that comfortably outpace current Billboard 200 holdovers such as Morgan Wallen’s *I’m The Problem*, Olivia Rodrigo’s latest, and Charli xcx’s *Music, Fashion, Film*. The July 31 street date aligns perfectly with the tracking period for the August 15 chart, allowing strong streaming velocity and sales momentum to lock in dominance before meaningful competition arrives. Historical precedent for Grande’s album launches reinforces the frontrunner status, while the slim odds on Noah Kahan, Ella Langley, or Gracie Abrams reflect their earlier release cycles and lower projected activity. An upset would require either sharply revised tracking data or an unforeseen late-breaking release, both considered low-probability scenarios by market participants.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 15, 2026". The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
交易量
$3,054
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 15, 2026". The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 15, 2026". The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ariana Grande’s newly released *Petal* album drives the overwhelming trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability, fueled by first-week projections exceeding 300,000 units that comfortably outpace current Billboard 200 holdovers such as Morgan Wallen’s *I’m The Problem*, Olivia Rodrigo’s latest, and Charli xcx’s *Music, Fashion, Film*. The July 31 street date aligns perfectly with the tracking period for the August 15 chart, allowing strong streaming velocity and sales momentum to lock in dominance before meaningful competition arrives. Historical precedent for Grande’s album launches reinforces the frontrunner status, while the slim odds on Noah Kahan, Ella Langley, or Gracie Abrams reflect their earlier release cycles and lower projected activity. An upset would require either sharply revised tracking data or an unforeseen late-breaking release, both considered low-probability scenarios by market participants.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 15, 2026". The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
交易量
$3,054
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 15, 2026". The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petal - Ariana Grande" at 98%, followed by "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日" is "Petal - Ariana Grande" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.