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icon for 告示牌熱門100首歌曲8月15日當週

告示牌熱門100首歌曲8月15日當週

icon for 告示牌熱門100首歌曲8月15日當週

告示牌熱門100首歌曲8月15日當週

8月 11

8月 11

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 71%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 54%

Boston - Stella Lefty 48%

Petal - Ariana Grande 44%

Polymarket
最新

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 71%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 54%

Boston - Stella Lefty 48%

Petal - Ariana Grande 44%

Polymarket
最新

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift

$539 交易量

71%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$73 交易量

54%

Boston - Stella Lefty

$539 交易量

48%

Petal - Ariana Grande

$0 交易量

44%

Be Her - Ella Langley

$539 交易量

44%

Been By Now - Morgan Wallen

$0 交易量

37%

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

$0 交易量

33%

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo

$542 交易量

21%

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds a narrow lead in trader sentiment thanks to its record-shattering run atop the Billboard Hot 100, recently extending to 15 weeks and reclaiming the summit from Taylor Swift. Sustained streaming dominance, country crossover appeal, and historical precedent for long-running hits support the 53% implied probability. Ariana Grande's "Petal" tracks and Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You" remain competitive threats with strong pre-release buzz and fan engagement, while Morgan Wallen and Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead" face steeper barriers from current chart positioning. The tight clustering around 50% reflects uncertainty heading into the August 15 tracking week, where new streaming data or a late surge could shift momentum before the chart locks.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
交易量
$2,232
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds a narrow lead in trader sentiment thanks to its record-shattering run atop the Billboard Hot 100, recently extending to 15 weeks and reclaiming the summit from Taylor Swift. Sustained streaming dominance, country crossover appeal, and historical precedent for long-running hits support the 53% implied probability. Ariana Grande's "Petal" tracks and Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You" remain competitive threats with strong pre-release buzz and fan engagement, while Morgan Wallen and Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead" face steeper barriers from current chart positioning. The tight clustering around 50% reflects uncertainty heading into the August 15 tracking week, where new streaming data or a late surge could shift momentum before the chart locks.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
交易量
$2,232
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

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「hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande」會成為8月15日當週的Billboard Hot 100第二名歌曲嗎？

45%
是
icon for 「Petal - Ariana Grande」會成為8月15日當週的Billboard 200冠軍專輯嗎？

「Petal - Ariana Grande」會成為8月15日當週的Billboard 200冠軍專輯嗎？

54%
是
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Will "Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson" be the song of the summer?

3%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"告示牌熱門100首歌曲8月15日當週" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 54%, followed by "Petal - Ariana Grande" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"告示牌熱門100首歌曲8月15日當週" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "告示牌熱門100首歌曲8月15日當週," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "告示牌熱門100首歌曲8月15日當週" is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Petal - Ariana Grande" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "告示牌熱門100首歌曲8月15日當週" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.