Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me” holds a dominant 90% implied probability for the #2 slot on the Billboard Hot 100 chart week of August 15 because the track has maintained strong streaming velocity into early August following the July 31 release of her album *Petal*. Traders see continued radio gains and playlist placement as likely to keep it just behind Ella Langley’s long-running country crossover “Choosin’ Texas,” which currently sits at #1. Lower-probability outcomes such as other Ariana tracks, Morgan Wallen’s “Been By Now,” or Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” reflect limited recent chart momentum or competition from established hits. With the next chart update driven by streaming and sales data through the coming weekend, any late surge in *Petal* tracks or a dip in Langley’s lead could shift positioning, though current market consensus points to a stable top-two finish for Grande’s single.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Billboard Hot 100 # 2歌曲周8月15日
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 90%
Petal - Ariana Grande 4.7%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 4%
Boston - Stella Lefty <1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
90%
Petal - Ariana Grande
5%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
4%
Boston - Stella Lefty
1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
<1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
<1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 90%
Petal - Ariana Grande 4.7%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 4%
Boston - Stella Lefty <1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
90%
Petal - Ariana Grande
5%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
4%
Boston - Stella Lefty
1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
<1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 8:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me” holds a dominant 90% implied probability for the #2 slot on the Billboard Hot 100 chart week of August 15 because the track has maintained strong streaming velocity into early August following the July 31 release of her album *Petal*. Traders see continued radio gains and playlist placement as likely to keep it just behind Ella Langley’s long-running country crossover “Choosin’ Texas,” which currently sits at #1. Lower-probability outcomes such as other Ariana tracks, Morgan Wallen’s “Been By Now,” or Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” reflect limited recent chart momentum or competition from established hits. With the next chart update driven by streaming and sales data through the coming weekend, any late surge in *Petal* tracks or a dip in Langley’s lead could shift positioning, though current market consensus points to a stable top-two finish for Grande’s single.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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