Skip to main content
icon for 告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日

告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日

icon for 告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日

告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日

8月 11

8月 11

Petal - Ariana Grande 97.8%

蒲公英 - Ella Langley 1.5%

I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen 1.3%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

Petal - Ariana Grande 97.8%

蒲公英 - Ella Langley 1.5%

I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen 1.3%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

Petal - Ariana Grande

$669 交易量

98%

蒲公英 - Ella Langley

$480 交易量

1%

I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen

$455 交易量

1%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan

$482 交易量

1%

You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - 奧莉維亞·羅德里戈

$470 交易量

1%

Daughter from Hell - Gracie Abrams

$470 交易量

1%

Charli xcx - Music, Fashion, Film

$10 交易量

1%

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 15, 2026". The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ariana Grande’s “Petal,” released July 31, drives the overwhelming 97.9% market-implied odds through its blockbuster early projections of more than 300,000 equivalent units in the debut frame. Strong streaming velocity, a dedicated fanbase, and sustained promotional momentum from the Eternal Sunshine era position the project to hold the top spot on the Billboard 200 for the August 15 tracking week. Limited competition from holdovers or new entries such as Morgan Wallen’s “I’m The Problem” reinforces trader consensus. An upset would require an unexpected late surge from a competing release or a sharp drop in “Petal” consumption, both viewed as low-probability outcomes given current metrics.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 15, 2026". The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
交易量
$3,035
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 15, 2026". The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 15, 2026". The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ariana Grande’s “Petal,” released July 31, drives the overwhelming 97.9% market-implied odds through its blockbuster early projections of more than 300,000 equivalent units in the debut frame. Strong streaming velocity, a dedicated fanbase, and sustained promotional momentum from the Eternal Sunshine era position the project to hold the top spot on the Billboard 200 for the August 15 tracking week. Limited competition from holdovers or new entries such as Morgan Wallen’s “I’m The Problem” reinforces trader consensus. An upset would require an unexpected late surge from a competing release or a sharp drop in “Petal” consumption, both viewed as low-probability outcomes given current metrics.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 15, 2026". The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
交易量
$3,035
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of August 15, 2026". The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

相關

icon for 「Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley」會成為8月15日當週Billboard Hot 100第一名的歌曲嗎？

「Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley」會成為8月15日當週Billboard Hot 100第一名的歌曲嗎？

57%
是
icon for 「Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley」會成為8月15日當週Billboard Hot 100第2名的歌曲嗎？

「Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley」會成為8月15日當週Billboard Hot 100第2名的歌曲嗎？

43%
是
icon for 在2026年，是否會有至少25張專輯登上Billboard 200排行榜第一名？

在2026年，是否會有至少25張專輯登上Billboard 200排行榜第一名？

96%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petal - Ariana Grande" at 98%, followed by "蒲公英 - Ella Langley" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日" is "Petal - Ariana Grande" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蒲公英 - Ella Langley" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "告示牌200 ＃ 1專輯周8月15日" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.