Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” holds a commanding 95% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100’s top spot the week of August 15 because of its unprecedented 16-week reign at No. 1, including a recent stretch where country tracks swept the entire top five. Sustained streaming, radio airplay, and sales momentum since its February debut have created a wide gap that newer releases have yet to close. Ariana Grande’s “Petal” and “hate that i made you love me,” which debuted strongly earlier in the year, currently sit below 4% as their initial surge fades. An upset would require a dramatic late-week streaming spike or major promotional push from a challenger, but historical patterns favor the incumbent’s hold through the tracking period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於告示牌熱門100首歌曲8月15日當週
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 95.2%
Petal - Ariana Grande 2.8%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 2.3%
Boston - Stella Lefty <1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
95%
Petal - Ariana Grande
3%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
2%
Boston - Stella Lefty
<1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
<1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
<1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
<1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 95.2%
Petal - Ariana Grande 2.8%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 2.3%
Boston - Stella Lefty <1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
95%
Petal - Ariana Grande
3%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
2%
Boston - Stella Lefty
<1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
<1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
<1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
<1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” holds a commanding 95% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100’s top spot the week of August 15 because of its unprecedented 16-week reign at No. 1, including a recent stretch where country tracks swept the entire top five. Sustained streaming, radio airplay, and sales momentum since its February debut have created a wide gap that newer releases have yet to close. Ariana Grande’s “Petal” and “hate that i made you love me,” which debuted strongly earlier in the year, currently sit below 4% as their initial surge fades. An upset would require a dramatic late-week streaming spike or major promotional push from a challenger, but historical patterns favor the incumbent’s hold through the tracking period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions