Trader sentiment on Deere's Q2 Production & Precision Agriculture (PPA) operating margin reflects tight contestation, with market-implied odds clustered around 16%–18% (49.5%) versus <16% (40.0%) and 18%–20% (39.5%), driven by anticipation of the May 21 earnings release amid a protracted North American large ag equipment downturn. Q1 FY2026 delivered PPA net sales up 3% to $3.163 billion but operating profit plunged to $139 million (4.4% margin) on lower shipment volumes and unfavorable sales mix, prompting a FY2026 guidance raise to $4.5–$5 billion net income while forecasting PPA sales down 5%–10% yet double-digit margins via production ramps. Low commodity prices, subdued farm incomes, elevated dealer inventories, and a $1.2 billion tariff headwind cap upside, though Deere's precision ag software (e.g., See & Spray) and pricing power differentiate it from CNH and AGCO peers, hinging swing factors like Q2 volume execution and cost leverage for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於16%–18% 56%
18%–20% 44%
<16% 42%
22%+ 10.5%
最新
最新
2026-05-21
<16%
42%
16%–18%
56%
18%–20%
44%
20%–22%
11%
22%+
11%
16%–18% 56%
18%–20% 44%
<16% 42%
22%+ 10.5%
最新
最新
2026-05-21
<16%
$0 交易量
42%
16%–18%
$0 交易量
56%
18%–20%
$0 交易量
44%
20%–22%
$100 交易量
11%
22%+
$200 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to Deere's announced Production & Precision Agriculture operating margin for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Deere's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Trader sentiment on Deere's Q2 Production & Precision Agriculture (PPA) operating margin reflects tight contestation, with market-implied odds clustered around 16%–18% (49.5%) versus <16% (40.0%) and 18%–20% (39.5%), driven by anticipation of the May 21 earnings release amid a protracted North American large ag equipment downturn. Q1 FY2026 delivered PPA net sales up 3% to $3.163 billion but operating profit plunged to $139 million (4.4% margin) on lower shipment volumes and unfavorable sales mix, prompting a FY2026 guidance raise to $4.5–$5 billion net income while forecasting PPA sales down 5%–10% yet double-digit margins via production ramps. Low commodity prices, subdued farm incomes, elevated dealer inventories, and a $1.2 billion tariff headwind cap upside, though Deere's precision ag software (e.g., See & Spray) and pricing power differentiate it from CNH and AGCO peers, hinging swing factors like Q2 volume execution and cost leverage for resolution.
This market will resolve according to Deere's announced Production & Precision Agriculture operating margin for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Deere's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Deere's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
交易量
$300結束日期
2026-05-21市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Deere's announced Production & Precision Agriculture operating margin for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Deere's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Trader sentiment on Deere's Q2 Production & Precision Agriculture (PPA) operating margin reflects tight contestation, with market-implied odds clustered around 16%–18% (49.5%) versus <16% (40.0%) and 18%–20% (39.5%), driven by anticipation of the May 21 earnings release amid a protracted North American large ag equipment downturn. Q1 FY2026 delivered PPA net sales up 3% to $3.163 billion but operating profit plunged to $139 million (4.4% margin) on lower shipment volumes and unfavorable sales mix, prompting a FY2026 guidance raise to $4.5–$5 billion net income while forecasting PPA sales down 5%–10% yet double-digit margins via production ramps. Low commodity prices, subdued farm incomes, elevated dealer inventories, and a $1.2 billion tariff headwind cap upside, though Deere's precision ag software (e.g., See & Spray) and pricing power differentiate it from CNH and AGCO peers, hinging swing factors like Q2 volume execution and cost leverage for resolution.
This market will resolve according to Deere's announced Production & Precision Agriculture operating margin for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Deere's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Deere's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
交易量
$300結束日期
2026-05-21市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Deere's Q2 Production & Precision Agriculture (PPA) operating margin reflects tight contestation, with market-implied odds clustered around 16%–18% (49.5%) versus <16% (40.0%) and 18%–20% (39.5%), driven by anticipation of the May 21 earnings release amid a protracted North American large ag equipment downturn. Q1 FY2026 delivered PPA net sales up 3% to $3.163 billion but operating profit plunged to $139 million (4.4% margin) on lower shipment volumes and unfavorable sales mix, prompting a FY2026 guidance raise to $4.5–$5 billion net income while forecasting PPA sales down 5%–10% yet double-digit margins via production ramps. Low commodity prices, subdued farm incomes, elevated dealer inventories, and a $1.2 billion tariff headwind cap upside, though Deere's precision ag software (e.g., See & Spray) and pricing power differentiate it from CNH and AGCO peers, hinging swing factors like Q2 volume execution and cost leverage for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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