Bulgaria's commanding 100% market-implied probability stems directly from Dara's decisive victory in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final in Vienna, where her upbeat track "Bangaranga" earned 516 points and swept both jury and public votes for the country's first-ever win. Traders have rapidly priced in the outcome following the live performance and official tally, reflecting the contest's clear resolution criteria around total points and dual voting systems. Historical precedent shows such lopsided results rarely shift once the ceremony concludes, though an extremely narrow technical recount or disqualification on voting irregularities could theoretically reopen the field in the hours immediately after the announcement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
阿爾巴尼亞 <1%
奧地利 <1%
比利時 <1%
克羅地亞 <1%
$193,876,873 交易量
$193,876,873 交易量

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

比利時
<1%

克羅地亞
<1%

捷克
<1%

法國
<1%

德國
<1%

以色列
<1%

摩爾多瓦
<1%

挪威
<1%

瑞典
<1%

烏克蘭
<1%

澳洲
<1%

賽普勒斯
<1%

丹麥
<1%

芬蘭
<1%

希臘
<1%

義大利
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

馬耳他
<1%

波蘭
<1%

羅馬尼亞
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

英國
<1%
阿爾巴尼亞 <1%
奧地利 <1%
比利時 <1%
克羅地亞 <1%
$193,876,873 交易量
$193,876,873 交易量

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

比利時
<1%

克羅地亞
<1%

捷克
<1%

法國
<1%

德國
<1%

以色列
<1%

摩爾多瓦
<1%

挪威
<1%

瑞典
<1%

烏克蘭
<1%

澳洲
<1%

賽普勒斯
<1%

丹麥
<1%

芬蘭
<1%

希臘
<1%

義大利
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

馬耳他
<1%

波蘭
<1%

羅馬尼亞
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

英國
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Bulgaria's commanding 100% market-implied probability stems directly from Dara's decisive victory in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final in Vienna, where her upbeat track "Bangaranga" earned 516 points and swept both jury and public votes for the country's first-ever win. Traders have rapidly priced in the outcome following the live performance and official tally, reflecting the contest's clear resolution criteria around total points and dual voting systems. Historical precedent shows such lopsided results rarely shift once the ceremony concludes, though an extremely narrow technical recount or disqualification on voting irregularities could theoretically reopen the field in the hours immediately after the announcement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions