Finland enters the first semi-final as the clear frontrunner, with traders assigning it a 67.5% implied probability on the strength of its high-energy entry "Liekinheitin" performed by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen. Strong pre-contest rehearsals, favorable running-order placement, and broad fan and jury buzz have solidified this lead, outpacing Greece’s more traditional ballad and Israel’s polarizing entry. Recent developments, including positive critical previews and social-media momentum in the run-up to the Vienna show, have further concentrated sentiment around Finland while keeping secondary options like Greece and Israel in the low teens. With voting combining national juries and public televotes, the market reflects trader confidence in Finland’s ability to top the 15-country field and advance as semi-final winner.