Trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026 third place reflects a fiercely competitive podium battle following standout first rehearsals and Semi-final 1 qualifiers, where Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" and Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" dazzled juries and fans alike, propelling them to frontrunner status at 20% and 15% implied probabilities. Australia’s Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") and Denmark’s Søren Torpegaard ("Før vi går hjem") trail closely at 15% and 13%, buoyed by strong televote potential and OGAE poll momentum, while Romania surges at 12% ahead of tonight's Semi-final 2. Differentiators include Finland's jury-friendly ballad staging, Greece's emotive delivery, Australia's pop star draw, and Denmark's dark-horse compromise appeal amid split jury-public voting—key swing factors before Saturday's Vienna grand final.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Eurovision 3rd Place 2026
Eurovision 3rd Place 2026
Greece 15%
Australia 15%
Bulgaria 13.8%
Finland 13%

Greece
15%

Australia
15%

Bulgaria
8%

Finland
20%

Israel
11%

Denmark
13%

France
10%

Romania
12%

Norway
4%

Italy
4%

Lithuania
4%

Sweden
4%

Malta
4%

Croatia
4%

Latvia
4%

Ukraine
4%

Cyprus
3%

Serbia
3%

Czechia
3%

Moldova
3%

Germany
3%

Azerbaijan
3%

Poland
3%

Austria
3%

Albania
2%

Armenia
2%

Portugal
1%

Georgia
1%

Belgium
7%

United Kingdom
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Estonia
1%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
<1%

Montenegro
<1%
Greece 15%
Australia 15%
Bulgaria 13.8%
Finland 13%

Greece
15%

Australia
15%

Bulgaria
8%

Finland
20%

Israel
11%

Denmark
13%

France
10%

Romania
12%

Norway
4%

Italy
4%

Lithuania
4%

Sweden
4%

Malta
4%

Croatia
4%

Latvia
4%

Ukraine
4%

Cyprus
3%

Serbia
3%

Czechia
3%

Moldova
3%

Germany
3%

Azerbaijan
3%

Poland
3%

Austria
3%

Albania
2%

Armenia
2%

Portugal
1%

Georgia
1%

Belgium
7%

United Kingdom
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Estonia
1%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
<1%

Montenegro
<1%
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026 third place reflects a fiercely competitive podium battle following standout first rehearsals and Semi-final 1 qualifiers, where Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" and Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" dazzled juries and fans alike, propelling them to frontrunner status at 20% and 15% implied probabilities. Australia’s Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") and Denmark’s Søren Torpegaard ("Før vi går hjem") trail closely at 15% and 13%, buoyed by strong televote potential and OGAE poll momentum, while Romania surges at 12% ahead of tonight's Semi-final 2. Differentiators include Finland's jury-friendly ballad staging, Greece's emotive delivery, Australia's pop star draw, and Denmark's dark-horse compromise appeal amid split jury-public voting—key swing factors before Saturday's Vienna grand final.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions